Caulfield Guineas day preview and tips: Saturday, October 14

It's a monster day of racing at Caulfield on Saturday, with three Group 1s among the 10-event card.

There is rain forecast in the lead-up (mainly Thursday) but a Good 4 or Soft 5 deck seems most likely.

The rail will be in the true position and you'd expect a level playing field based on how Caulfield has played in recent times.

Race-by-race preview, tips and best bets for the card below.

Caulfield Race 1 Form Guide WIN PLACE
BECK Grand Handicap (1700m)
12th 3 Worsfold (10) John Allen 60.0kg	17	17	19	18	17	19.5	23	19	16.8	18	18	17
4th 4 Kettle Hill (4) Mark Zahra 59.5kg	5	4.8	5	5	5.5	6.6	7	5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5
3rd 5 Red Sun Sensation (5) Thomas Stockdale 59.5kg (a1.5)	12	11	12	11	11	11	16	9.5	10.8	12	11	11
10th 6 Russian Dancer (3) Zac Spain 59.5kg	31	27	31	31	31	14.5	60	26	31	31	29	31
6th 7 Grand Pierro (2) Ben Melham 59.0kg	26	31	29	26	27	16.5	710	21	25	31	29	27
1st 8 Maktoob (6) Blaike Mc Dougall 59.0kg	8	8	8	8	8.5	9.6	11	7.5	7.9	9	8.5	8.5
9th 9 Matron Bullwinkel (12) Ben Allen 58.5kg	8.5	8	9	8	8	10	14.5	7	8	8	8	8
8th 10 Thought Provoking (8) Jordan Childs 58.5kg	21	23	29	21	23	13	21	19	23.5	23	23	23
11th 11 Farhh Flung (1) Blake Shinn 57.5kg	5	5	4.8	5	5	5.3	5.9	5	5.5	5.5	5	5
7th 12 Rhinoceros (9) Jacob Noonan 57.0kg	23	23	23	20	21	21	48	19	21	23	21	21
5th 13 Albanian I Am (7) Beau Mertens 56.0kg	9	9.5	10	9.5	9.5	10.5	14	10	9.5	9.5	9	9.5
2nd 14 Our Empress Zoe (11) Damian Lane 54.5kg	7.5	7.5	7.5	8	7.5	7.2	8.4	9	7.1	8	8	7.5
Market percentage	119	120	116	120	117	117	86	124	118	112	117	117
Quick Bet

Near-impossible race to open proceedings but Farhh Flung (11) goes on top from the in-form Danny O'Brien stable. He powered home to win over 1500m at The Valley last start but can probably settle a bit closer over this longer trip from the inside gate. Shinn sticks.

Chicago Bear (2) has been a bit of a tease but he gets Joao Moreira here off a short let-up.

Speaking of teases, Kettle Hill (4) is yet to break through in Australia after seven attempts. He's been close several times though and has drawn ideally for Zahra in barrier five.

Convener (1) will be running on but the wide gate and big weight are obvious knocks.

VERDICT: Farhh Flung (1) on top but happy to shoulder arms here.

Caulfield Race 2 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Thoroughbred Club Plate (1200m)
4th 1 Shesallshenanigans (3) Blaike Mc Dougall 57.5kg	3.3	3.4	3.2	3.6	3.4	3	3.75	3.5	3.6	3.5	3.2	3.4
6th 2 Appin Girl (4) Mark Zahra 57.5kg	2.8	2.7	2.8	2.8	2.8	3.2	3.2	2.9	2.95	2.9	2.65	2.8
8th 3 Serasana (5) Jamie Mott 57.0kg	18	17	23	18	19	1.16	27	18	19.4	19	20	19
9th 4 Hell Queen (2) Jye McNeil 56.0kg	41	35	51	31	41	10	70	26	41	51	61	41
7th 5 Lady In Pink (7) Ben Melham 56.0kg	41	35	51	34	41	2	70	31	43	34	41	41
5th 6 Fragile Love (9) Damian Lane 56.0kg	9.5	9.5	11	9	10	1.2	12.5	9.5	9	10	9.5	10
3rd 7 Miss Aria (6) Blake Shinn 56.0kg	9	10	9	11	9	1.75	11	9.5	9.5	10	10	9
2nd 8 Excess (1) Beau Mertens 56.0kg	7.5	7	7	7	7	1.65	8.4	7	6.8	7.5	8	7
1st 9 Sheva (8) Michael Dee 56.0kg	15	14	15	13	14	17.5	18	15	13	15	17	14
Market percentage	118	120	116	117	118	418	99	118	116	113	117	118
Quick Bet

Serasana (3) was thrashed last start but the winner Hedged went like a rocket fourth-up, running his rivals into the ground. I think Serasana will strip much fitter for this and the rise to 1200m looks suitable. This might be a race where the leaders start to paddle over the final 100m.

Shesallshenanigans (1) was terrific winning down the straight two-back, defeating Stretan Angel who then beat the colts last Saturday. She was a bit disappointing over this distance last start but this is easier and she's drawn to lead.

Appin Girl (2) was supposed to make her Victorian debut in the Cap D'antibes (1100m) but was scratched after playing up before the start. Going straight to what looks a strongly-run 1200m race is a genuine query but she'd trialled well prior to that barrier mishap.

It's a big jump for Excess (8) from a Cranbourne maiden but that was a nice win and she maps for a lovely run in this on the back of the speedsters.

VERDICT: Serasana (3) for the win.

Caulfield Race 3 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Neds Herbert Power Stakes (2400m)
4th 1 Daqiansweet Junior (4) Blake Shinn 58.0kg	9	8.5	11	8.5	9	9	18	8.5	8.9	9	61	9
9th 2 Regal Power (8) Arron Lynch 58.0kg	21	23	26	26	21	1.75	27	21	24	23	19	21
1st 4 Military Mission (9) Joao Moreira 57.0kg	8	8.5	9	8.5	8	7.8	300	8.5	8.2	8.5	9	8
6th 5 Mount Popa (7) Damien Oliver 56.5kg	26	31	34	31	31	2	750	31	34	31	41	31
8th 6 Rebel Racer (3) Craig Newitt 53.5kg	34	41	41	51	35	1.75	48	41	51	41	51	35
7th 7 Brayden Star (6) Daniel Moor 53.0kg	4	3.9	3.8	3.8	3.9	3.5	5.1	3.9	4	4	3.5	3.9
5th 8 Carini (1) Michael Dee 53.0kg	2.4	2.4	2.1	2.4	2.6	1.97	2.84	2.5	2.3	2.45	2.3	2.6
2nd 9 United Nations (5) Dean Yendall 53.0kg	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6	1.7	6.6	6	6.1	6.5	6	6
3rd 10 Ferago (2) Harry Grace 53.0kg	61	51	101	67	61	2.32	990	61	71	61	67	61
Market percentage	119	118	120	117	117	369	82	118	119	116	113	117
Quick Bet

Carini (8) looks to have the most upside in this field and the rise to 2400m shouldn't trouble him - it's just whether it is one run too early. He stepped from 1400m to 1700m second-up and was strong through the line to post his first Australian win at just his second attempt. He's not a brilliant beginner but he shouldn't get too far back from the inside barrier.

Kalapour (3) comes down from Sydney after running 3rd in the G1 Metropolitan (2400m) last start. It was a distant 3rd but he found the line nicely and Lees couldn't have him much fitter after four runs back.

Brayden Star (7) was dominant winning the Benalla Cup (2100m) last start when five weeks between runs. He boasts remarkably consistent record for a stayer, finishing top-two in 9 of his 14 career starts.

He probably needs another one but Daqiansweet Junior (1) gets into his right distance range fourth-up.

VERDICT: Would prefer if he had one more run under his belt but going with the promising Carini (8).

Caulfield Race 4 Form Guide WIN PLACE
SENET Northwood Plume Stakes (1200m)
9th 1 Po Kare Kare (5) Billy Egan 58.0kg	41	41	41	41	41	10	790	41	43	41	51	41
7th 2 Red Card (12) Joao Moreira 57.0kg	3.9	3.9	3.8	3.8	4	1.75	4.4	3.9	4.15	4.2	3.7	4
10th 3 Essonne (2) John Allen 57.0kg	23	21	23	26	21	16	44	21	26	23	26	21
3rd 4 La Danseuse Rouge (10) Jacob Noonan 57.0kg	34	31	34	31	31	9.6	70	31	29.5	34	41	31
6th 5 Grey River (6) Damien Oliver 57.0kg	6	6	6	6	6	5	5.6	5.5	6.5	6.5	6	6
12th 6 Seradess (3) Blake Shinn 56.0kg	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.8	8	5.5	5.4	5.5	5.5	5.5
1st 7 She Dances (7) Linda Meech 56.0kg	9	8.5	10	8	9.5	10	580	8.5	8.2	9	9	9.5
2nd 8 Rose Quartz (11) Michael Dee 56.0kg	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.6	4.6	1.87	5.2	4.8	4.5	5	4.6	4.6
4th 9 Cardigan Queen (9) Harry Coffey 56.0kg	18	17	19	17	17	19	42	17	16.2	18	15	17
8th 10 Holly Lolly (4) Blaike Mc Dougall 56.0kg	101	91	101	101	91	3	930	91	111	91	91	91
5th 11 Glitzing (8) Damian Lane 56.0kg	17	16	17	17	17	3	36	18	17.2	16	16	17
11th 12 Get Up Girl (1) Ben Melham 56.0kg	41	41	51	41	41	24	900	41	41	41	51	41
Market percentage	118	120	116	120	118	261	82	120	117	114	119	118
Quick Bet

Grey River (5) was awesome winning over 1100m at Morphettville on resumption, scoring by 2.7L in good time. She hasn't really been able to bring that sort of form to Melbourne in the past but maybe with maturity and experience, she'll be able to deliver on her talent this preparation.

Red Card (2) was disappointing here last start when rolled as a $1.40 favourite. There were no obvious excuses there after leading but she might be worth another chance on the strength of her first-up win at Rosehill where she finished 1.74L clear of the smart Airman.

Rose Quartz (8) is forever running on without winning these days but her first-up 2nd to Viviane reads well for this.

Seradess (6) has the barrier to land in the first couple without really burning out of the gates. She was brave over this route last start and will strip fitter for this third-up.

VERDICT: Hopefully Grey River (5) can back up her fresh win in SA.

Caulfield Race 5 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Metcap Finance Schillaci Stakes (1100m)
6th 1 Ingratiating (2) Blake Shinn 58.5kg	9.5	9.5	11	10	9.5	13.5	14	10	9.2	10	9.5	9.5
2nd 2 Uncommon James (6) Damian Lane 58.5kg	2.4	2.4	2.3	2.25	2.45	2.6	2.62	2.4	2.45	2.45	2.45	2.45
5th 3 Curran (8) Matthew Cartwright 58.5kg	101	67	126	81	81	120	140	71	93	71	101	81
4th 4 Lombardo (4) Mark Zahra 58.5kg	34	27	41	26	31	50	55	31	34	31	41	31
7th 5 Key Largo (3) Keagan Latham 58.5kg	34	31	41	61	31	46	50	41	37	34	41	31
8th 6 Home Rule (7) John Allen 58.5kg	101	81	151	81	91	190	250	91	131	91	126	91
1st 7 Asfoora (5) Mitchell Aitken 56.5kg	2.1	2.1	2	2.15	2.1	2.32	2.34	2.1	2.2	2.1	2.1	2.1
3rd 8 Chain Of Lightning (1) Billy Egan 56.5kg	10	11	13	11	11	15	15.5	12	10.8	11	12	11
Market percentage	118	119	117	118	117	101	99	116	114	116	114	117
Quick Bet

The betting says this is a two-horse race between Asfoora (7) and Uncommon James but I'm keen on the former in this. She beat him home by a length in the G1 Moir Stakes (1000m) last start and meets him 1.5kg better for a 0.95L margin in the G1 Oakleigh Plate over this distance at Sandown Lakeside last preparation. She's also drawn on his inside in this, which looks advantageous.

Uncommon James (2) is the obvious danger to the top pick. He's beaten her a couple of times and was good first-up in a very hot race (Imperatriz run sizzling time again). Blinkers go on for the first time.

Chain Of Lightning (8) and Ingratiating (1) both map to enjoy nice runs from inside gates but I'll be surprised if the winner comes from beyond the top two picks.

VERDICT: Asfoora (7) for the win. BEST BET

Caulfield Race 6 Form Guide WIN PLACE
The Big Screen Company Weekend Hussler (1400m)
1st 1 Ayrton (7) Damian Lane 58.0kg	5	5	5	5	5.5	5.9	6	5	4.85	5.5	4.8	5.5
4th 2 Buffalo River (10) Celine Gaudray 58.0kg	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	3	7.8	6.5	6.5	7	6.5	6.5
9th 3 Welwal (11) Jye McNeil 57.0kg	9.5	9.5	10	9.5	9	1.74	11.5	9.5	9.7	10	9.5	9
7th 4 Kaptain Kaos (3) Beau Mertens 56.0kg	61	67	71	61	61	8.4	75	61	59	51	67	61
0th 5 Minsk Moment (5) Blake Shinn 56.0kg	6	6	6	6	6	10	6.8	5.5	6.1	6.5	6	6
5th 6 Regardsmaree (6) Billy Egan 55.0kg	7	7	7	7	7	2.02	8.4	7	7	7.5	7	7
2nd 7 Stageman (8) Wiremu Pinn 55.0kg	41	46	41	41	41	2.02	60	41	37	34	41	41
10th 8 Biometric (1) Michael Dee 54.5kg	15	14	16	15	15	1.74	18	16	14.8	17	15	15
3rd 9 Rubamos (4) Joao Moreira 54.0kg	5	5	5	5	4.8	3.5	5.7	5	5	5.5	5	4.8
6th 10 Vreneli (2) Winona Costin 54.0kg	16	16	16	17	16	18.5	19.5	18	17	17	15	16
8th 11 Buoyantsea (9) Harry Coffey 54.0kg	21	20	29	20	26	2.1	32	19	26	26	26	26
Market percentage	119	119	116	118	117	368	99	120	118	110	119	117
Quick Bet

I would prefer if it was at Flemington but Biometric (8) is still worth a 1 x 3 play at $8/$2.60. He maps to do no work at all from the inside gate and he's a 1400m specialist in a race with genuine question marks on all runners in the market.

Regardsmaree (6) is 42 days between runs, which is a slight worry, but he was building nicely through August/September. He boasts terrific stats over this route (9:2-1-2).

Ayrton (1) has obvious ability but he's hard to trust until he actually produces something on raceday. The former boom horse has been out of the placings at his last five starts.

Buffalo River (2) turned the clock back with a gritty all-the-way win over this route last start. He could prove hard to run down again if Gaudray can find the top from out wide.

VERDICT: Biometric (8) 1 x 3.

Caulfield Race 7 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Neds Might And Power (2000m)
1st 1 Alligator Blood (3) Tim Clark 59.0kg	3.2	3.2	3.4	3.3	3.5	3.5	3.6	3.4	3.3	3.4	2.9	3.5
2nd 2 Vow And Declare (8) Billy Egan 59.0kg	71	71	101	61	71	40	1000	61	83	71	91	71
4th 3 Nonconformist (5) Harry Coffey 59.0kg	10	9.5	11	10	9.5	8.2	12	9.5	10.2	10	11	9.5
5th 4 Alenquer (7) Mark Zahra 59.0kg	41	41	51	31	46	40	560	31	41	41	51	46
7th 5 Hezashocka (9) Damian Lane 59.0kg	41	41	51	34	41	26	810	31	43	41	41	41
10th 6 Just Fine (4) Jordan Childs 59.0kg	3.2	3.1	3.2	3	3	3.9	5.2	3	3	3.1	3	3
9th 7 Forgot You (6) John Allen 59.0kg	18	17	19	19	17	19	30	18	16.8	18	19	17
8th 8 Lindermann (1) Joao Moreira 58.0kg	19	19	21	19	19	13	28	18	20	20	21	19
3rd 9 Duais (10) Blake Shinn 57.0kg	4	3.9	4	4.6	3.9	4.4	4.5	4.2	3.9	4	4.2	3.9
6th 10 Deny Knowledge (2) Wiremu Pinn 57.0kg	34	34	41	34	34	13.5	23	31	36	41	41	34
Market percentage	118	120	112	117	118	118	89	120	119	116	119	118
Quick Bet

Deny Knowledge could be the fly in the Alligator Blood ointment here. She was awkward away last time but generally bowls along in front at a solid tempo. If she kicks up on the inside of Alligator Blood, it could set the race up for a horse like Duais (9) to swoop. The Edward Cummings-trained mare can mix it up but her best is brilliant and her victory over this trip in last year's G1 Australian Cup was simply ridiculous. She has also won over this route, so Caulfield doesn't hold any fears.

Alligator Blood (1) was typically tough winning the G1 Underwood Stakes (1800m) here last start. There looks to be a bit of speed in this race but he's drawn well and Clark can take a trail from barrier three if a rival hoop wants to go handlebars down from the gates. He's a star this horse but 2000m is a box that he is yet to tick. He's never raced beyond 1800m on a good track though.

Just Fine (6) has been a revelation since coming to Australia, winning 3 from 3 including the G1 Metropolitan (2400m) last start. Coming back to 2000m doesn't appear to be any sort of knock, especially after drawing barrier four. It's the step up to WFA level that is the query (it was only three starts ago that he won a BM94).

Lindermann (8) could be an improver up to 2000m fourth-up. He should enjoy an economical run on the fence, probably three-back, and he's had a look at Caulfield now after finishing midfield in the G1 Underwood Stakes (1800m).

VERDICT: Duais (9) in a minor upset.

Caulfield Race 8 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Catanach's Jewellers Vase (1600m)
3rd 1 Foxy Frida (1) Billy Egan 58.0kg	8.5	8.5	9	9	8.5	10	11.5	8.5	9	9	9	8.5
4th 3 Papillon Club (5) Ben Melham 58.0kg	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	2.02	9	7.5	7.4	8	7.5	7.5
2nd 4 Barbie's Fox (10) Mark Zahra 57.0kg	4.8	5	5	4.8	4.8	5.8	5.9	4.8	4.75	5	4.8	4.8
6th 5 Party Princess (8) Jordan Childs 57.0kg	23	23	26	21	23	2.02	32	21	23.5	23	23	23
7th 6 She's A Con (2) Michael Dee 57.0kg	14	14	15	14	14	15	18	15	14	15	15	14
5th 9 Maracana (7) Blake Shinn 56.0kg	16	18	19	17	17	2.02	29	19	16	18	18	17
1st 10 Wishlor Lass (6) Damian Lane 56.0kg	2.2	2.15	2.1	2.1	2.2	2.24	300	2.15	2.15	2.2	2.2	2.2
10th 11 No Secret (9) Jye McNeil 56.0kg	126	91	201	101	126	80	280	101	101	101	126	126
9th 12 Our Red Morning (3) Daniel Moor 56.0kg	26	27	34	31	27	2.1	46	31	31	31	29	27
8th 13 Tajneed (4) Tim Clark 56.0kg	21	19	23	20	20	2.1	28	21	20	21	21	20
Market percentage	119	119	116	120	118	324	55	118	119	115	116	118
Quick Bet

Papillon Club (3) looms as a big improver here after some forgivable efforts this campaign. Her return in the G3 Cockram (1200m) here was encouraging but nothing has gone right for her since. She settled in a different postcode from a wide gate at Flemington two-back, before bombing the start at The Valley. Her best is good enough, she just needs to find a decent position in running.

Wishlor Lass (10) was dominant winning over 1400m at Sandown Hillside last start. This is harder but she has a good draw and a good pattern.

Foxy Frida (1) was too bad to be true last start. She's better than that and is entitled to another chance based on her body of work. She's finished in the top two in 4 of her 6 second-up starts.

Barbie's Fox (4) has a terrible map but was only 1.2L away in the Group 1 Epsom (1600m) last start. With even luck, she can definitely win.

VERDICT: Papillon Club (3) appeals at odds. BEST VALUE

Caulfield Race 9 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Neds Caulfield Guineas (1600m)
5th 1 Militarize (12) Joao Moreira 57.0kg	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.6	2.6	3.1	2.78	2.6	2.65	2.6	2.25	2.6
8th 2 Little Brose (10) Damien Oliver 57.0kg	51	46	71	51	51	10	90	61	57	51	61	51
4th 3 King Colorado (8) Michael Dee 57.0kg	13	13	15	13	13	8	17	13	12.8	15	11	13
3rd 4 Steparty (7) John Allen 57.0kg	3.9	3.6	3.8	3.7	3.7	1.76	4.3	3.7	4	3.9	3.8	3.7
2nd 5 Veight (1) Damian Lane 57.0kg	14	15	15	14	14	1.75	16.5	13	13.6	15	13	14
1st 6 Griff (15) Ben Melham 57.0kg	34	35	41	34	35	50	300	31	33	41	51	35
7th 7 Scheelite (13) Mark Zahra 57.0kg	13	14	15	14	14	2	16	13	13.8	14	15	14
10th 8 Scentify (5) Ben Allen 57.0kg	14	15	15	14	14	6.4	17.5	15	14.2	14	16	14
9th 9 Southport Tycoon (4) Harry Coffey 57.0kg	21	19	23	19	19	1.75	32	19	20	23	26	19
11th 10 Wolfy (11) Blake Shinn 57.0kg	16	15	17	15	15	3.4	21	17	13.8	16	18	15
6th 11 Verdad (14) Beau Mertens 57.0kg	23	26	21	21	23	1.75	26	21	20	26	21	23
12th 12 Rock Empire (3) Tim Clark 57.0kg	71	67	81	61	67	60	110	71	69	61	91	67
13th 13 Limburg (9) Jye McNeil 57.0kg	251	251	351	201	201	20	550	201	281	201	301	201
14th 14 Copacabana (6) Jordan Childs 57.0kg	201	251	251	201	201	100	280	201	201	101	201	201
15th 15 The Longest Yard (2) Brian Higgins 57.0kg	251	351	501	401	301	5	990	301	521	251	501	301
Market percentage	118	119	114	119	119	408	98	119	117	114	120	119
Quick Bet

There is plenty of quality at the top here but I'm siding with the Sydney visitor Militarize (1). He was awesome coming from a long way back to win the G1 Golden Rose (1400m) last start and the sectionals backed up the visuals. He's only raced over a mile once previously and was a dominant winner of the G1 Champagne Stakes. Caulfield is a new challenge for the Waller-trained colt but Moreira knows him well and is riding beautifully at the moment.

Scheelite (7) was stiff not to beat Steparty in the Guineas Prelude. The winner was huge but so was this guy, hitting a flat spot around the turn before rocketing home out wide. He gives the impression that he'll eat up 1600m and he appears to have had the perfect build-up (1100m, 1200m, 1400m this prep).

Steparty (4) just keeps getting the job done, taking his record to 5 from 5 with a brilliant swooping win in the Guineas Prelude. He has more tactical speed and a better gate than Militarize, so perhaps Allen will use that to his advantage and look to settle in the first five or six. It's impossible to fault what he's done do far.

King Colorado (3) was impressive winning the G1 JJ Atkins over this distance and he hasn't lost any admirers in two runs since, despite finishing out of the placings. He started a $14 chance against some seasoned Group 1 pros in the G1 Winx Stakes on resumption.

VERDICT: Militarize (1) for the win. Also backing Scheelite (7).

Caulfield Race 10 Form Guide WIN PLACE
Hyland Race Colours Toorak Handicap (1600m)
7th 2 The Inevitable (8) David Pires 56.5kg	12	10	13	10	12	1.66	15.5	10	13.2	13	12	12
9th 3 Amelia's Jewel (12) Damian Lane 56.0kg	2.3	2.2	2.3	2.6	2.4	1.31	2.58	2.5	2.5	2.3	2.3	2.4
5th 4 Pinstriped (11) Ben Allen 56.0kg	14	10	17	12	15	16	21	13	14	15	15	15
8th 5 Pounding (9) Billy Egan 55.0kg	26	35	31	21	26	5.1	34	21	22.5	26	21	26
2nd 6 Antino (16) Blake Shinn 54.5kg	5	7	5	5.5	5	5.4	300	5.5	4.75	5.5	5.5	5
1st 7 Attrition (10) Beau Mertens 54.0kg	31	26	34	26	27	1.17	40	26	29	31	29	27
3rd 8 Bankers Choice (15) Patrick Moloney 53.5kg	251	201	301	151	201	1.8	390	201	151	151	201	201
11th 9 Corner Pocket (4) Craig Newitt 53.5kg	81	46	101	71	81	1.66	140	81	75	71	67	81
6th 10 Pride Of Jenni (5) Declan Bates 52.0kg	14	12	15	12	13	2.08	16.5	13	12.8	14	14	13
16th 11 Ironclad (1) Linda Meech 52.0kg	81	67	151	51	101	2.08	200	51	93	81	91	101
14th 12 Savannah Cloud (14) Daniel Moor 52.0kg	81	67	101	51	81	2.08	140	51	83	71	91	81
10th 13 See You In Heaven (13) Michael Dee 52.0kg	34	41	41	31	34	1.66	50	26	35	34	34	34
13th 14 Here To Shock (3) Dean Yendall 52.0kg	11	17	11	11	11	12.5	12.5	12	10.6	13	12	11
4th 15 Amenable (6) Wiremu Pinn 52.0kg	17	14	19	19	17	1.66	24	19	17.8	17	18	17
15th 16 Charterhouse (2) Jye McNeil 52.0kg	26	27	29	26	23	2.08	34	26	23	26	26	23
12th 17 Beltoro (7) Teodore Nugent 52.0kg	251	251	351	201	201	2	440	251	261	151	201	201
Market percentage	119	120	113	120	119	753	81	120	118	116	117	119
Quick Bet

Antino's chances of rolling Amelia's Jewel (3) were dealt a blow when he came up with barrier 17 (of 17). The glamour mare hasn't drawn all that well either in barrier 12 but she's still the horse to beat third-up off two good, and very different, wins this preparation. She sat back and rounded them up at Flemington, running down Life Lessons who has won since, before smashing the clock at The Valley from up on the speed in the G2 Stocks Stakes (1600m). With a good ride/even luck, she should continue on her winning way.

Amenable (15) looks the overs in the race at $17. He was poor over 1400m here last start when unplaced as a $1.80 favourite but his G1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) run reads well for this and he plummets in weight down to 52kg. He's drawn to settle closer under Wiremu Pinn and a tongue tie goes on for the first time (maybe there was a little breathing issue last time that didn't make it into the stewards' report).

Antino (6) will have to be very good to overcome the outside gate in the big field but he's generally a solid beginner and he's versatile in terms of his racing pattern. It was a workmanlike win by him in the G3 Sandown Stakes (1500m) last start but it should top him off nicely for this third-up assignment over the mile, where he's 2 from 2.

Here To Shock (14) made Antino work to beat him last start and he maps perfectly in this. Yendall (52kg) shouldn't have any issues finding a spot in the first three or four. Tassie pocket rocket The Inevitable (2) has to be respected despite failing to place in three Caulfield starts.

VERDICT: Amelia's Jewel (3) for the win. Save on Amenable (15) at odds.

Caulfield Guineas day preview and tips: Saturday, October 14

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Caulfield Guineas day preview and tips: Saturday, October 14

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