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Black Book

Rosies views on Q bred final 3 year olds at Albion Park

henryluca_0c2f
Assessing the horses' chances in a horse racing event involves considering various factors such as their past performance, recent form, jockey-trainer combinations, and odds. Based on the information provided, here's an assessment of each horse's chances in the Qbred Triad Final (G1):

Torque Like Motion: With a solid win percentage of 35% and a high place percentage of 60%, Torque Like Motion appears to be a strong contender. The jockey-trainer combination is noteworthy, and the horse has performed well in the past.

My Girl Mandy: Although My Girl Mandy has a relatively low win percentage of 11.9%, its place percentage of 31% indicates some consistency. However, the horse might be considered an outsider based on its past performance.

San Marea: San Marea has a respectable win percentage of 16% and a place percentage of 52%. The odds are reasonable, and the horse could be a competitive choice.

True Origins: With a win percentage of only 3.6% and a place percentage of 42.9%, True Origins might be considered a long shot in this race.

Cheer Leader: Cheer Leader stands out with a high win percentage of 44.4% and an impressive place percentage of 61.1%. The odds are relatively low, indicating that the horse is expected to perform well.

Bronski Delight: Bronski Delight has a decent win percentage of 27.6% and a solid place percentage of 58.6%. The odds are reasonable, and the horse could be a competitive choice.

Saint Jujon: Saint Jujon has a win percentage of 5.9% and a place percentage of 58.8%. While the win percentage is low, the horse has shown potential to place consistently.

Miki Magic: Miki Magic boasts a win percentage of 21.4% and a place percentage of 64.3%. These numbers indicate a strong contender, and the odds suggest that the horse is well-regarded.

Jewel Melody: With a high win percentage of 34.8% and an impressive place percentage of 78.3%, Jewel Melody is a top contender. The odds reflect the horse's strong potential.

Brookfields Beauty: Brookfields Beauty has limited experience with only 3 races and no wins. The horse might be considered an outsider based on its lack of significant achievements.

Fraya: Fraya has a win percentage of 19% and a place percentage of 38.1%. While not the strongest contender, the horse has shown the ability to perform decently.

Mullum Ruby: With a win percentage of 20% and a place percentage of 40%, Mullum Ruby could be a competitive choice, especially if it can maintain its past form.

Miss Bay King Cole: Miss Bay King Cole has a win percentage of 13% and a place percentage of 47.8%. The horse's odds suggest a moderate level of confidence in its performance.

Please note that horse racing is inherently unpredictable, and many factors can influence the outcome of a race. It's important to consider additional factors such as track conditions, recent workouts, and any changes in jockeys or trainers. Betting odds are also influenced by the betting market's perception of each horse's chances.

Based on the information provided and without considering any additional factors that might affect a horse's performance on the race day, it appears that "Jewel Melody" stands out as having the best chance among the listed horses. Here are the reasons why:

Win Percentage and Place Percentage: Jewel Melody has a win percentage of 34.8% and an impressive place percentage of 78.3%. These high percentages suggest that the horse has a history of consistently performing well and being competitive.

Strong Trainer-Jockey Combination: The fact that Bernie Hewitt is both the trainer and the jockey for Jewel Melody could indicate a strong understanding of the horse's abilities and racing strategy.

Impressive Record: With 8 wins out of 23 races, Jewel Melody has a strong track record of success, demonstrating its ability to perform under race conditions.

Solid Betting Odds: The odds of $2.40 suggest that Jewel Melody is well-favored by the betting market, indicating a high level of confidence in its potential to win or place.

However, it's important to remember that horse racing is unpredictable, and various factors such as track conditions, form on the day of the race, the behavior of the horse, and even unexpected events can influence the outcome. This assessment is based solely on the provided information and does not take into account any additional variables that could affect the race's outcome. Always consider a variety of factors and perform thorough research before making any betting decisions.
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