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Churchill Downs R10 - 1207m Race 10 - St. Matthews Overnight Stakes Form Guide

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Race 10 1207m

Race 10 - St. Matthews Overnight Stakes

Race

4YO plus.

$260k TOTAL

Total $259,521

1st $163,499

2nd $51,904

3rd $25,952

4th $18,166

5th -

6th -

7th -

8th -

9th -

10th -

4YO plus.

CIRC 1609m STRAIGHT 376m RAIL Churchill Downs Racecourse

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	Horse Details	Last 10	Career	Rtg	W%	P%	Avg $	Wgt	Bar
1	5th Silks: Orange, green 'v', orange stripes on green sleeves, orange cap Owners: The Scherr Boys Necker Island (USA) Jose Ortiz - Chris Hartman	x1x34425x5	13 1-1-3	110	8%	38%	$0	54	1
2	3rd Silks: Green, white hoop, white sleeves, green armlets, green cap Owners: Big Chief Racing, Llc, Rocker O Ranch, Llc And Desormeaux, J Keith Surveillance (USA) James Graham - J Desormeaux	4356x21423	14 4-2-2	111	29%	57%	$0	54	2
5	4th Silks: Olive, gold disc, brown circle on sleeves, olive cap Owners: Tamaroak Partners Llc Bango (USA) Tyler Gaffalione - Gregory Foley	21x11333x4	13 5-3-2	120	38%	77%	$0	54	5
6	2nd Silks: Tan, burgundy stripe, burgundy sleeves, burgundy cap Owners: Bc Stables, Llc Bourbon Bash (USA) Keith Asmussen - D Lukas	22x233x122	21 1-8-4	109	5%	62%	$0	54	6
7	1st Silks: Red, white chevron, red chevrons on white sleeves, red cap Owners: Bernard Racing Llc, Tagg Team Racing, West Point Thoroughbreds And Stephens, Terry L O Besos (USA) Irad Ortiz Jr - Gregory Foley	15x2x424x1	9 2-2-1	114	22%	56%	$0	54	7
3	SCR Silks: White, Blue Chevron Owners: Winning Stables, Inc Richiesonaroll (USA) Emmanuel Giles - Jose Rodriguez	22x11x6113	16 6-5-0	103	38%	69%	$0	54	3
4	SCR Silks: Royal blue, gold star, gold sleeves, royal blue cap Owners: Susan Moulton Manny Wah (USA) Flavien Prat - William Walden	75x7642F2x	12 1-2-1	111	8%	33%	$0	54	4

Runner Comments
1 Necker Island First-up after 20 week break and placed at Churchill Downs on debut. Has a lot of early speed. Place.
2 Surveillance Winner at Fair Grounds and placed three times this prep. Has genuine early speed and rates highly with James Graham retaining the ride. Not out of it.
5 Bango Resumes after a 25 week spell. Proven first-up winning two from two when fresh and won at Churchill Downs last go. Hasn't run a bad race. Rates highly.
6 Bourbon Bash Won last start to break maiden at Oaklawn Park when fresh and hasn't run a bad race. Has plenty of early speed and a likely leader. In the mix.
7 O Besos Back after 23 week break and placed when on debut at Keeneland. Commands respect.

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Sectional times are used to understand exactly how fast horses travelled in their past races, broken down into 200m increments. Sectional times can help to compare horses which are yet to race against each other and also compare which horses perform well in certain sections of a race.

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The Key Benefits of Using the Sectional Times

Compare times from recent runs

Sectional times allow you to compare each horse’s early, mid and late speed throughout a race to help you assess how the race may play out.

Review speeds in specific conditions

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Isolate runs for more accuracy

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Let Predictor steer you closer to a winner

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Predictor uses historical form factor data to predict the likely outcomes of races. It works by applying a weighted percentage of importance to particular form factors
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The Key Benefits of Using the Predictor

Let our data do the work for you

Predictor analyses data from thousands of historical races and displays a percentage rating for each runner in an upcoming race.

Alter your own form factor weights

We all do the form differently and Predictor allows for this. Simply adjust the weightings based on their importance to you and Predictor will update its ratings

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Uncover the value in the race with Punter's Edge

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Punter's Edge compares the Punters Price (an AI model built to predict the true odds of a horse) and the current price to highlight the runners the market has over or undervalued. Punter's Edge is available on all Australian horse races.

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Understanding the Punters Rating

The Punters Rating is the primary element of the Punters Price. Our in-house AI model summarises over a hundred historical form data points for each runner into one number between 0 and 100.

Comparing Punters Price

The Punters Price combines the Punters Rating, track conditions and market expectations into a dynamic price that aims to reflect a horse's true chances of winning the race. As race conditions change our price updates in an effort to give you the most accurate prediction possible.

Finding the value

Punter's Edge does all the hard work for you by comparing the Punters Price and bookmakers odds in an easy to understand graphic so that you can spend more time finding winners. When you see a positive Punter's Edge percentage, it means we believe the odds are in your favour.

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Validate your form analysis with Tipper's Edge

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Tipper's Edge is a betting tool that backs up your selections with tips from fellow punters. It uses the wisdom of the Punters community to calculate rated odds for each runner in a race. It is a great source to compare your form analysis against before you place a bet.

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The Key Benefits of Using the Tipper's Edge

See who the Punters community is tipping

Tipper's Edge allows you to see how many tippers in the Punters community like the chances of a particular runner. Those who have a more successful strike rate are called out in a separate blue bar, so that you can follow the smart money.