thecommando
thecommando commented on Kirks Doomben Cup (Doomben R7)
See what your saying Bootwhip but on recent form you cant get much better than Manighar's so to not back it if u like it thinking it may come the end of it's prep, thats just not somethign Id do, would rather lose my money seeing it tire than see it bolt in and not have bet. Didnt they offer 4.5o or...
17 May at 2012-05-17T13:45:17+10:0013:05
thecommando commented on Kirks Doomben Cup (Doomben R7)
How does anyone go past Manighar? This prep wins the Asutralian Cup, wins the Ranvet, wins the BMW, all group 1s, and now goes to the Doomben Cup running against a once overrated Lights Of Heaven and a nz stayer who to my eye has similar class to a horse like Scarlett Lady who Manighar thrashed.
17 May at 2012-05-17T12:38:44+10:0012:05
thecommando commented on Best bet of the day?
This Ole Rose in race 3 at Bendigo looks short but I think it has a lot of ability, form stacks up really well, on debut jockey steered it 5-6 wide and just stayed away from the othetr horses like they knew they had something with a bit of ability, won very easily and sprinter quickly when asked.
17 May at 2012-05-17T12:34:13+10:0012:05
thecommando commented on LIVE BLOG
Balmont finds his best form and will be in this at Wagga, good gate, strong tempo, finished second behind Ortensia. Has a lot of ability.
03 May at 2012-05-03T16:01:20+10:0016:05
thecommando commented on LIVE BLOG
Fresh Light in the next at Warnambool all the way to the bank
02 May at 2012-05-02T11:53:01+10:0011:05
thecommando commented on LIVE BLOG
#1 Certain Hope in the next at the bool. Great chance if it doesnt get caught wide from the gate.
01 May at 2012-05-01T13:39:22+10:0013:05
I think the big difference with Mosheen to many of those horses I mentioned is she always sticks her neck out, she's tough as nails, tough horses generally stay.
01 May at 2012-05-01T00:14:26+10:000:05
thecommando commented on Barakey
Thanks mate, looking forward to him running outside WA, hopefully they underrate him and get some value in his price.
01 May at 2012-05-01T00:12:23+10:000:05
thecommando commented on Barakey
Plugga, off the top of your head how do Hay List's and Barakey's ratings compare at similar stages of their career?
01 May at 2012-05-01T00:03:13+10:000:05
In regards to Mosheen it still has to prove it can stay against the big boys. I know it won Oaks by a big margin but Streama fell in last start against a bunch of ponies. The classy 3yr old fillies very often dont come up in their 4yr old year and are always high in the market for the big races and ...
30 April at 2012-04-30T23:49:42+10:0023:04
thecommando commented on Hilton Donaldson's hysterical call.
Gartman, couldnt agree more, me and my mates cnt stand him. He is always pumping up his own tyres giving the "i told ya so's" if a horse he has tipepd wins and whenever he talks one up before a race and it runs bad he has always has an excuse. Even worse, when your listening on the radio, you dont e...
30 April at 2012-04-30T13:07:43+10:0013:04
Agree Bagman is the danger but from those similar times over the 1400m at caulfield Sheila's Star gets 4.5 kgs from Bagman when those times were with both horses carrying 54kgs. Giving it a start at the turn, 4.5kgs and we also don't know how many more lengths SS had up it's sleeve, possibly 1 or 2.
20 April at 2012-04-20T14:31:02+10:0014:04
$2 seems value to my eyes. Winning at Caulfield by lengths witout being tested, this horse is really flying.
20 April at 2012-04-20T11:43:57+10:0011:04
thecommando commented on The Doncaster
Everytime I hear his trainer (Sincero's) interviewed before a reasonably big race he says he is hoping for a dry track. He won that Guineas all on class. And he will be on the inside of the track so I'm going to risk him.
18 April at 2012-04-18T11:06:25+10:0011:04
thecommando commented on The Doncaster
In my opinion only 3 horses that can win it this year given the wet track I'm expecting. Secret Admirer, Shoot Out and Hurtle Myrtle. Will have all 3 into Streama for the Oaks, one of them will win the Donny.
17 April at 2012-04-17T17:56:58+10:0017:04
With ya there Max, big time
14 April at 2012-04-14T10:30:42+10:0010:04
Atlantic Jewel into $1.35, starting to look good that $1.60, huge tip on Mawingo guys, bit late but know a part owner who has been told by Freedmans this horse is every bit as good as Lucas Cranach, huge wraps.
14 April at 2012-04-14T10:29:34+10:0010:04
madmax, multi bets are multiplied
13 April at 2012-04-13T17:24:30+10:0017:04
Get on board Destiny!
12 April at 2012-04-12T11:51:24+10:0011:04
Hardly, I back losers every day I bet, one more aint gonna make me miss any sleep.
12 April at 2012-04-12T11:35:56+10:0011:04
I reckon everyone should stop thinking bout the prices in this instance, will you really kick yourself for backing this double and losing if it comes undone just because you thought the price was short?I bet you will kick yourself if they both win eased down on the line and realise you dont get chan...
12 April at 2012-04-12T10:34:19+10:0010:04
You've read my mind with that double, Christmas coming early, get on fellas.
11 April at 2012-04-11T17:38:27+10:0017:04
Why is Induna 30s for the Derby and other snowden horses are much much shorter after he has clearly said Induna is my Derby horse? Think people are getting caught up in the margins. Induna didnt start to excel until 1900 last prep and now it has only raced over 1600 in a group 1 and still made up go...
29 March at 2012-03-29T18:20:46+11:0018:03
I think Bel Sprinter will win this. Some ppl think its a bookies horse but when you have genuine excuses in Group 1s there isnt much you can do about it. Gave Kulgrinda weight and gave it wind burn first up. Margin was small but made up many lengths and it was a soft win. I think the Sydney way of g...
29 March at 2012-03-29T18:15:37+11:0018:03
thecommando commented on Marsh Breeders' Stakes (Morphettville R4)
Fair enough. Agree Alezan Thunder from the gate will be in it for a very long way. Speed map looks like he just lobs in the lead with no real pressure but have my question marks on that horse being in Adelaide, any good Kav wouldve had a go at the good 2yo races. Finiguerra MV race 5 is my bet of th...
29 March at 2012-03-29T18:09:29+11:0018:03
thecommando commented on doubtfilly
Kyria was a huge run last start and I remember the jockey getting off her saying that he feels for the horse because she is flying she jst hates wet tracks, not sure what we are getting on the weekend though. Spewing She's A Fox is in the race cos I want to back Kyria but think she might have bumped...
29 March at 2012-03-29T17:57:08+11:0017:03
thecommando commented on Marsh Breeders' Stakes (Morphettville R4)
Changed my mind on this race, think Road Trippin and the two tgrant mentioned are the three. Cant split them through different formlines but will back Road Trippin each way depending on price. Might load up the place as it has been caught three wide and still managed to run a place in 2 of its last ...
29 March at 2012-03-29T17:52:27+11:0017:03
I'm with the NZers too, that Silent Acheiever looks something else.
29 March at 2012-03-29T10:04:07+11:0010:03
Yeah it is a bit steep but it hurts you more for the shorter odds horses. Like if you wanted to back All Too Hard this weekend at 1.50 into him for the slipper at 7, you end up getting lower than 7s for the double. Which is stupid. You will still get a good dividend for the Rock Classic.
29 March at 2012-03-29T09:38:57+11:009:03
Pretty sure u get bout 60% of the odds multiplied by each other. eg $3 for this race, $6 for donny, 60% of 18 bout 11.50
29 March at 2012-03-29T09:02:57+11:009:03
thecommando commented on Golden Slipper
Sneaky money coming for All Too Hard in the slipper. Hawkes are a massive betting stable and I know the wraps they have on this horse. $7 most places at the moment.
28 March at 2012-03-28T13:36:17+11:0013:03
thecommando commented on Golden Slipper
What you mean he has ran no time Destiny? Im pretty sure his 2nd win was mid 1:22s at flemington for the 1400m. Thats quick.
28 March at 2012-03-28T11:53:51+11:0011:03
thecommando commented on Golden Slipper
You can draw formlines through Road Trippin. 4.5 lenghts behind Snitzerland coming from rear of field after being 3 wide the trip. 4.1 lengths behind All Too hard. ATH came from a number of lengths behind and hit the line without feeling the whip. Obviously its no formula but it is some guide. Imo A...
27 March at 2012-03-27T21:03:05+11:0021:03
thecommando commented on LIVE BLOG
Ill be on Manighar, havent backed it once this prep but it hasnt dissappointed against the best horses in aus; Americain and Lucas Cranach.
24 March at 2012-03-24T14:30:57+11:0014:03
thecommando commented on Sportingbet Sunline Stakes (Moonee Valley R7)
Big double into MJ hurts, thought Luck San was better than that got to admit and weight pull helped Pago Rock. Cnt complain though had every chance.
24 March at 2012-03-24T14:28:34+11:0014:03
Got that wrong thought Hay List had lengths on Foxwedge with the weights, dno what happened, I'm thinking injury but what can you do when the form just doesnt work out the way it should.
24 March at 2012-03-24T01:22:45+11:001:03
thecommando commented on Sportingbet Sunline Stakes (Moonee Valley R7)
Get it back on Luck San tomorrow boys, LOAD UP!
24 March at 2012-03-24T01:19:56+11:001:03
thecommando commented on Sportingbet Sunline Stakes (Moonee Valley R7)
Last bet for the night 50 on running double LL into Its Crunch Time after a horrid night on the punt, heard LL win on radio then checked on phone to see Its Crunch Time win, waiting for money to come in, seeing running double 27 bout right, didnt take notice of the numbers then eventually checked ra...
24 March at 2012-03-24T01:18:26+11:001:03
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