Roughie tips for Saturday's racing [Flemington, Rosehill]
![Roughie tips for Saturday's racing [Flemington, Rosehill]](http://puntcdn.com/photos/news/--1684375145_1352x900.jpg)
Here are the roughies we think can out-run their price for Saturday's racing.
They are not necessarily our 'on-topper' in their respective races, but we at least have them figuring in our top-three for each-way/exotics players.
READ: Saturday Selections
FLEMINGTON
Race 2 No.9 Vagrant @ $14
Vagrant (9) is worth an each-way punt here at $14 or thereabouts. She is an ordinary beginner but she possesses a big finish on her day and the Flemington 1400m suits. She was competitive in the G2 Edward Manifold over this route and there has been merit in all three of her runs back from a break.
Harry Coffey (55kg)
Mitchell Freedman
4yoM (ch) Pariah x My Obsession
Career
17 5-2-2
Earnings
$339,055
Wins
29.41%
Places
52.94%
Last 10
10 4-2-1
Win Range
1200-1400m
1st up
3 1-1-0
2nd up
3 2-0-0
Dist
6 2-1-2
Track
4 1-1-0
Trk/Dist
2 1-1-0
Jockey
1 0-1-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
6 3-1-1
Soft
7 2-1-1
Heavy
4 0-0-0
Smullen (13) could be the blowout at big odds. He was a soft winner of a 1400m maiden on resumption before running home strongly for 2nd out to the mile last time. He might relish the rise to 2000m.
Beau Mertens (54kg)
T & N Busuttin & Young
4yoG (b) Pierro x Raunchy Rocker
Career
8 1-1-1
Earnings
$38,235
Wins
12.5%
Places
37.5%
Last 10
8 1-1-1
Win Range
1400m
1st up
2 1-0-0
2nd up
2 0-1-0
Dist
1 0-0-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
3 0-0-1
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
3 1-1-0
Soft
3 0-0-0
Heavy
1 0-0-0
Plenty of different formlines to consider here but rejuvenated veteran Never Again (8) makes each-way appeal from the good draw. He was terrific getting home hard for 2nd behind El Patroness at Sandown Lakeside two-back, before battling on well last time behind a dominant winner who had all the favours.
Beau Mertens (55kg)
Reece Goodwin
9yoG (b) High Chaparral x Rollon Rose
Career
76 9-6-6
Earnings
$653,685
Wins
11.84%
Places
27.63%
Last 10
10 0-1-1
Win Range
1170-2400m
1st up
10 2-1-0
2nd up
9 3-0-0
Dist
6 0-0-1
Track
16 1-1-2
Trk/Dist
3 0-0-0
Jockey
3 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
45 6-2-2
Soft
26 3-3-3
Heavy
4 0-1-0
Bold Bourbon (12) is another on the quick back-up having won the Casterton Cup (2000m) last Sunday. He was expected to win ($1.90 favourite) but it was still a terrific performance, sitting wide for the trip before pulling away in the straight. He's flying.
Dean Yendall (56.5kg)
Lindsey Smith
5yoG (b) The Bold One x Crown Gem
Career
21 6-1-2
Earnings
$156,019
Wins
28.57%
Places
42.86%
Last 10
10 4-0-0
Win Range
1400-2000m
1st up
6 1-1-0
2nd up
4 2-0-1
Dist
4 0-0-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
0 0-0-0
Jockey
5 4-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
6 0-0-1
Soft
11 3-0-1
Heavy
4 3-1-0
Race 1 No.4 Galano @ $19
Galano (4), a grandson of the Hong Kong Derby winner Elegant Fashion, has trialled up well and has a desirable draw.
Tyler Schiller (56kg)
M, W & J Hawkes
3yoC (br) Snitzel x Star Fashion
Career
8 2-1-0
Earnings
$66,525
Wins
25%
Places
37.5%
Last 10
8 2-1-0
Win Range
1321-1500m
1st up
3 1-0-0
2nd up
2 1-0-0
Dist
2 0-0-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
7 2-1-0
Soft
1 0-0-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0
Poseidon Ruler (2) has been going great guns this preparation. Literally each one of his four runs has been better than the last. Take April 29 for example. He drew 15 of 16, was 14th at the turn yet finished fifth, four lengths off Wrathful, which makes that race better than most Midways.
Brett Prebble (59.5kg)
John Bannister
6yoG (br) Tycoon Ruler x Lady Pachira
Career
37 4-4-10
Earnings
$171,985
Wins
10.81%
Places
48.65%
Last 10
10 0-0-2
Win Range
1200-1400m
1st up
6 0-1-2
2nd up
6 0-1-2
Dist
10 2-1-1
Track
5 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
2 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
13 1-1-2
Soft
16 3-2-4
Heavy
7 0-1-4
Swift Charm (8) is talented and untapped. The Brett Dodson-trained five-year-old has won three of his five starts and was deadset the run of the race in his two defeats. One thing about him is that when he wins, he wins like the proverbial 'good horse'. This is his first real test but let's just say, he's done all his homework and is pretty smart.
Ben Looker (57kg)
Brett Dodson
6yoG (b) Per Incanto x Real Angel
Career
13 3-4-1
Earnings
$132,850
Wins
23.08%
Places
61.54%
Last 10
10 1-4-1
Win Range
1000-1313m
1st up
3 1-2-0
2nd up
3 1-1-0
Dist
4 1-1-1
Track
2 0-1-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
6 1-3-0
Soft
6 2-1-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0
Apparently, those closest to Battleton (2) and a few jockeys who have sat on him, have a favourable opinion of the son of Zoustar. At this point in time, he hasn't reached any lofty heights but there have been glimpses. Runner-up to Mazu in the Brian Crowley, second to Kiss Sum in the Gunsynd, third in the Fred Best. That's good form and the trial was a ripper.
Brandon Lerena (61.5kg)
Bjorn Baker
5yoG (b) Zoustar x Dulverton
Career
26 3-3-5
Earnings
$384,415
Wins
11.54%
Places
42.31%
Last 10
10 1-0-1
Win Range
1100-1400m
1st up
5 1-0-1
2nd up
5 1-0-2
Dist
6 0-1-1
Track
2 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
2 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
15 2-2-3
Soft
9 1-1-2
Heavy
1 0-0-0
Smartawi (1) won the MTC Guineas Prelude on April 23 and then came out and won the actual Guineas there on May 5. Hard to find fault with a horse on a hat-trick but the wide draw and the big weight don't make it easy.
Tyler Schiller (59kg)
Gregory Hickman
4yoG (br) Smart Missile x To Dubawi Go
Career
20 4-2-1
Earnings
$145,705
Wins
20%
Places
35%
Last 10
10 3-1-0
Win Range
1400-1600m
1st up
5 0-0-0
2nd up
3 0-0-1
Dist
1 0-0-0
Track
2 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
6 1-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
8 3-1-0
Soft
7 1-1-1
Heavy
4 0-0-0
Peshmerga (3) was foaled in Germany. That's where our own Counterattack is these days. Peshmerga won on debut over 1900m at Chantilly in February 2022. Her other European win was in a Listed race in Germany. Fast forward to more recent times, the now Robert Quinn-trained mare trialled brilliantly prior to her 'fading' fourth here behind rival Money From The Sky. Don't think she will 'fade' this time.
Chad Schofield (60kg)
Robert Quinn
5yoM (ch) Counterattack x Paper Faces
Career
13 3-2-0
Earnings
$166,967
Wins
23.08%
Places
38.46%
Last 10
10 2-1-0
Win Range
1900-2100m
1st up
3 1-1-0
2nd up
3 0-0-0
Dist
2 0-0-0
Track
3 1-0-0
Trk/Dist
2 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
3 1-1-0
Soft
8 1-1-0
Heavy
1 0-0-0
Demarcay (9) hasn't set the world on fire in his three Australian runs, which, for the record are '7, 8 and a 9'. But I thought that there was at least some merit in all of them. Having watched him closely, it does seem clear he is just a rolled-gold 2400m horse. Waller has him fourth-up (fit) now, Brett Prebble (tick).
Brett Prebble (55kg)
Chris Waller
5yoG (b) Postponed x Europium
Career
18 1-6-0
Earnings
$87,959
Wins
5.56%
Places
38.89%
Last 10
10 0-3-0
Win Range
2000m
1st up
4 1-1-0
2nd up
4 0-1-0
Dist
6 0-3-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
7 0-1-0
Soft
8 1-3-0
Heavy
1 0-1-0
Race 2 No.5 Safework @ $15
Many of these place more than win but Safework (5) has finally drawn a gate and has always looked better than a Class 3 horse. Two of his three wins have been here and there has been plenty to like about his two runs at Eagle Farm since resuming. This is his trip and a positive ride by Boris Thornton can get an overdue result.
Boris Thornton (59kg)
Scott Morrisey
6yoG (br) Spirit Of Boom x Ossie's Secret
Career
48 4-8-5
Earnings
$490,700
Wins
8.33%
Places
35.42%
Last 10
10 1-1-2
Win Range
1200-1400m
1st up
9 0-2-0
2nd up
8 0-2-1
Dist
20 3-2-2
Track
16 2-4-2
Trk/Dist
6 2-1-1
Jockey
8 1-2-2
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
33 2-5-3
Soft
10 1-2-2
Heavy
3 0-1-0
Zoe's Promise (4) lost all chance at the start at Gosford but is fitter for three outings and suited this company. She won a Group 2 over this trip before a change of stables and with Ben Thompson can go forward to control the race.
Ben E Thompson (56.5kg)
Ciaron Maher
4yoM (b) Swear x Kinz Funky Monkey
Career
21 4-2-3
Earnings
$561,150
Wins
19.05%
Places
42.86%
Last 10
10 2-2-2
Win Range
1400-1600m
1st up
6 1-0-2
2nd up
4 0-1-0
Dist
8 3-1-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
12 1-2-2
Soft
7 2-0-1
Heavy
2 1-0-0
Huetor (3) ran Zaaki (1) down last year when the race was at Eagle Farm and got close in the Hollindale last start. He is ready to peak and if he gets the right tempo there is no reason why he can't go back-to-back.
Ryan Maloney (59kg)
P & P Snowden
7yoG (b) Archipenko x Briviesca
Career
31 8-1-3
Earnings
$1,889,771
Wins
25.81%
Places
38.71%
Last 10
10 2-1-0
Win Range
1600-2400m
1st up
10 1-0-1
2nd up
7 3-0-0
Dist
9 4-0-1
Track
1 1-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 1-0-0
Jockey
4 1-1-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
15 3-1-0
Soft
6 3-0-0
Heavy
10 2-0-3
Ucalledit (15) was never likely when resuming but has a far better record over this trip. He won four of his six starts last preparation without missing a place and can make a mark here.
Andrew Mallyon (54.5kg)
Kris Lees
6yoG (b) Zacinto x Special Bay
Career
31 10-3-3
Earnings
$565,486
Wins
32.26%
Places
51.61%
Last 10
10 2-0-0
Win Range
1300-1400m
1st up
7 2-1-1
2nd up
6 1-1-0
Dist
22 10-2-2
Track
4 1-1-1
Trk/Dist
4 1-1-1
Jockey
5 2-0-1
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
14 7-1-1
Soft
10 3-1-2
Heavy
7 0-1-0
Premise (6) placed in both the Adrian Knox and the Australian Oaks which is good form for this. She has trialled recently and Sam Clipperton will have her handy throughout.
Sam Clipperton (56.5kg)
John O'Shea
4yoM (b) Contributer x Sharp Proposition
Career
15 2-2-2
Earnings
$217,250
Wins
13.33%
Places
40%
Last 10
10 0-1-1
Win Range
1600-1900m
1st up
4 0-1-0
2nd up
3 1-0-0
Dist
3 0-0-1
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
1 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
10 2-2-0
Soft
3 0-0-1
Heavy
2 0-0-1
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