Lays of the day with Betfair: Saturday, April 27
See which fancied runners the Betfair and Punters form analysts are keen to take on around Australia on Saturday, April 27.
READ: Saturday tips and best bets
Jackson Oldham (Betfair)
Caulfield R3 No. 1 - Pounding (rated at $3)
Pounding is obviously the best horse in this race but he's weighted like it and goes very quickly from 1200m up to 1600m second-up.
Luke Nolen (60kg)
P & K Moody & Coleman
5yoG (b) Exceed And Excel x Silent Entrance
Career
34 7-6-4
Earnings
$1,102,415
Wins
20.59%
Places
50%
Last 10
10 0-0-2
Win Range
1400-1600m
1st up
6 0-2-1
2nd up
6 1-0-0
Dist
15 5-2-1
Track
6 0-1-0
Trk/Dist
2 0-0-0
Jockey
14 1-1-2
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
24 5-5-4
Soft
7 1-1-0
Heavy
2 0-0-0
James Lamb (Punters)
Caulfield R5 No. 4 - Berkeley Square @ $2
This is a race he really should be winning (it's weak) and the market is with him. But Berkeley Square is not a horse you want to be taking even-money for. It's been 10 starts since his last win, which came on a very wet track, and he's still yet to strike a blow in 8 goes on good ground. He's likely to get back and he's not exactly a push-button operator so tempo will be important.
Luke Currie (57kg)
Dan O'Sullivan
4yoG (b) Territories x Bahamas
Career
18 5-3-1
Earnings
$992,775
Wins
27.78%
Places
50%
Last 10
10 1-2-1
Win Range
1347-2040m
1st up
4 1-1-0
2nd up
3 1-0-1
Dist
7 2-1-0
Track
7 1-2-1
Trk/Dist
4 1-1-0
Jockey
5 1-2-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
9 1-1-1
Soft
7 3-1-0
Heavy
1 1-0-0
Mitch Lewis (Betfair)
Kembla Grange R7 No. 3 - Eye Of The Fire (rated at $3)
Happy to be against Eye Of The Fire at the price. Eye Of The Fire was super impressive on it debut run at Beaumont Newcastle owning that field. Last start it also raced against Watch My Girl at the Gosford track at 1200m. I believe Watch My Girl is much better run then Eye Of The Fire and beating it home. Happy to be against at the price.
Robbie P Downey (58.5kg)
Annabel Neasham
3yoG (br) Epaulette x Thud
Career
3 1-0-0
Earnings
$25,475
Wins
33.33%
Places
33.33%
Last 10
3 1-0-0
Win Range
1200m
1st up
1 1-0-0
2nd up
1 0-0-0
Dist
1 0-0-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
3 1-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
1 0-0-0
Soft
2 1-0-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0
Linton Chataway (Betfair)
Eagle Farm R6 No. 8 - Party For Two (rated at $6)
Just won last start in a big prize money race however this is much harder and from the widest gate dropping back in trip she faces a tough task.
Nikita Beriman (55kg)
S & M O'Dea & Hoysted
3yoF (br) Sidestep x Ponte Roma
Career
12 4-2-2
Earnings
$605,875
Wins
33.33%
Places
66.67%
Last 10
10 3-2-1
Win Range
1000-1200m
1st up
4 2-0-1
2nd up
4 1-1-1
Dist
7 3-1-2
Track
3 1-0-1
Trk/Dist
3 1-0-1
Jockey
6 3-1-1
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
9 4-2-1
Soft
2 0-0-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0
Mitch Lewis (Betfair)
Rosehill R4 No. 13 - Martini Mumma (rated at $8)
MARTINI MUMMA has won 2 in a row now but takes a step up here into a Highway in the city. For what we have seen on the track, this race looks more open than where the market currently has it so I am willing to take on MARTINI MUMMA at the price.
Dylan Gibbons (54kg)
Matthew Dale
3yoF (gr) Pariah x Silver Spirit
Career
4 3-0-0
Earnings
$110,775
Wins
75%
Places
75%
Last 10
4 3-0-0
Win Range
1000-1100m
1st up
2 1-0-0
2nd up
1 1-0-0
Dist
1 1-0-0
Track
1 1-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 1-0-0
Jockey
1 1-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
2 1-0-0
Soft
1 1-0-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0
The @Betfair_Aus Back or Lays for this Saturday (City Of Lights scratched after recording)
— Punters+ (@Punters) April 26, 2024
Odds as of 9am 25/4/24.
Chances are you're about to lose.
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