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Black Book

Lays of the day with Betfair: Saturday, April 20

One tipster is keen to take on Jimmysstar One tipster is keen to take on Jimmysstar

See which fancied runners the Betfair and Punters form analysts are keen to take on around Australia on Saturday, April 20.



Jackson Oldham (Betfair)

Mornington R6 No. 5 - Riproar (rated at $4.20)

Riproar can win but is too short for me. His first-up rating was strong at Geelong but that was on a heavy track and now he goes straight from 1340m to the mile against some strong competition. Grid Girl is equal favourite in my market. She won well first-up in Australia before running super second-up in the inferior ground on the back of a very fast early tempo. She was ridden poorly last start at Pakenham and still got the job done, the mile suits.

Harry Coffey (57kg) Andrew Forsman 3yoG (b) Charm Spirit x Let Me Roar
Rating 69
Career
11 3-1-1
Earnings
$81,560
Wins
27.27%
Places
45.45%
Last 10
10 3-1-1
Win Range
1215-1500m
1st up
3 1-1-0
2nd up
3 1-0-0
Dist
2 0-0-0
Track
1 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-0-0
Jockey
2 0-0-1
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
3 1-0-0
Soft
6 1-1-0
Heavy
1 1-0-0

James Lamb (Punters)

Mornington R8 No. 8 - Little Mix the place @ $2.90

Little Mix comes down from Sydney in reasonable form but the draw has made things very tough for the Neasham-trained visitor. Generally a moderate beginner, Little Mix is likely to settle in the last few and may be forced to make a long, looping run from the tail, which can be difficult to do at Mornington.

Jye McNeil (55.5kg) Annabel Neasham 5yoM (b) Mahisara x Girls Aloud
Rating 96
Career
22 5-5-6
Earnings
$396,850
Wins
22.73%
Places
72.73%
Last 10
10 2-2-1
Win Range
1210-2200m
1st up
5 1-0-2
2nd up
4 0-1-2
Dist
4 0-2-1
Track
1 0-1-0
Trk/Dist
1 0-1-0
Jockey
1 0-1-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
10 1-1-3
Soft
8 3-3-1
Heavy
3 1-1-1

Mitch Lewis (Betfair)

Randwick R10 No. 12 - Jimmysstar (rated at $7.50)

JIMMYSSTAR had Doncaster ambitions but didn’t head there in the end. He looks a type with good potential but resuming here may prove tricky. He is drawn wide which may make his job tough and especially if he is out the back.

James Mc Donald (56.5kg) Ciaron Maher 4yoG (ch) Per Incanto x Anniesstar
Rating 93
Career
9 5-2-1
Earnings
$303,092
Wins
55.56%
Places
88.89%
Last 10
9 5-2-1
Win Range
1200-1500m
1st up
4 3-1-0
2nd up
2 1-1-0
Dist
4 1-2-0
Track
0 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
0 0-0-0
Jockey
0 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
4 2-1-0
Soft
4 3-1-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0

Linton Chataway (Betfair)

Eagle Farm R6 No. 10 - Outlawed (rated at $5)

Second attempt up to this distance after trying as a younger horse and I am doubtful it will be suitable for a consistent horse that appears better placed over 1200m.

Bailey Wheeler (55kg) Robert Heathcote 4yoM (b) Foxwedge x Forbidden
Rating 80
Career
19 4-6-0
Earnings
$218,850
Wins
21.05%
Places
52.63%
Last 10
10 2-2-0
Win Range
1000-1200m
1st up
4 0-2-0
2nd up
3 1-1-0
Dist
3 0-0-0
Track
8 1-1-0
Trk/Dist
2 0-0-0
Jockey
2 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
11 4-4-0
Soft
5 0-1-0
Heavy
1 0-1-0

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