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Graeme Carey's preview and tips for Ipswich: Wednesday, April 24

by Graeme Carey
Aqua Rosa (circled) was forced to make a long, searching run at Doomben last start and the mare can improve sharply at a big price at Ipswich. Aqua Rosa (circled) was forced to make a long, searching run at Doomben last start and the mare can improve sharply at a big price at Ipswich.

Sizeable fields and uncertain weather make this a tricky midweek meeting at Ipswich, with the leading trainers and riders dominating the early markets - but I have found a couple from lesser lights that offer some value.

Clearing weather on a soft track with the rail out six metres gives an advantage to on-pacers.

BEST BET

RUSSIAN SUB (R8 No.3)


NEXT BEST
   
RADIANT REMI (R9 No.4)


VALUE BET
   
AQUA ROSA (R6 No.10)


QUADDIE NUMBERS
Race 6: 9,10,13,14
Race 7: 4,10
Race 8: 3,6,8
Race 9: 4,10,11
72 combinations

RACE 1: Two-Year-Old Maiden Plate (1100m)

Ipswich Race 1
Ipswich R1 - Tab Ipswich Cup Tickets On Sale Mdn Plate free form guide Form Guide
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Tab Ipswich Cup Tickets On Sale Mdn Plate (1100m)
1st
1  Balastier
(8) Ryan Maloney 58.0kg
1.9 1.85 1.85 1.75 1.85 2.1 2.12 1.85 1.56 1.85 1.82 1.85
6th
2  Golden Sun
(4) Damien Thornton 58.0kg
9.5 10 11 11 10 14 14.5 11 13.2 10 11 10
8th
5  Sivo
(6) Noel Callow 58.0kg
34 31 41 41 34 60 100 41 33 41 51 34
3rd
6  Stapleton
(3) Anthony Allen 58.0kg
26 27 41 31 27 42 60 31 28 26 34 27
5th
9  Play It As It Lays
(2) Tahlia Fenlon 56.0kg (a3)
26 26 34 26 27 38 55 31 33 26 34 27
7th
10  Rose Of Liberty
(5) Madeleine Wishart 56.0kg
61 61 126 71 71 140 200 81 67 61 81 71
4th
11  Tells Me To
(7) Wanderson D'Avila 56.0kg
61 51 101 81 67 110 150 81 73 61 91 67
2nd
12  Viale
(1) Kyle Wilson-Taylor 56.0kg
2.4 2.4 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.56 2.6 2.3 2.45 2.35 2.35 2.4
Market percentage
 119 120 118 115 119 102 98 118 125 120 117 119
Quick Bet
A watch the market affair with most unraced or resuming. The most experienced one is VIALE (12) which had support, took on older horses and was only narrowly beaten at Grafton when resuming. Her only previous outing was in Saturday grade and from gate one with Kyle Wilson-Taylor she may be too seasoned.

The Brazen Beau colt BALASTIER (1) over-raced at his only run at the Gold Coast but his trials were much better than that. He is poorly drawn but with Ryan Maloney steering, a moderate Maiden such as this should not be beyond him.

Bred for speed PLAY IT AS IT LAYS (9) didn't show up in his trial but gets a tongue-tie and has drawn well with 3kg claimer Tahlia Fenlon. Chris Munce has a good record with two-year-olds and can spring a surprise.

SIVO (5) has been gelded, gets blinkers and his dam has been a good producer. With Noel Callow he will be tested right out.

VERDICT: Experience is VIALE (12).


RACE 2: Two-Year-Old Maiden Plate (1110m)

Ipswich Race 2
Ipswich R2 - Ray White Ipswich Mdn Plate free form guide Form Guide
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Ray White Ipswich Mdn Plate (1100m)
2nd
2  I'm Heroic
(1) James Orman 58.0kg
13 17 19 17 16 3.35 25 18 16.8 15 16 16
4th
4  Runaway Tycoon
(9) Cejay Graham 58.0kg (a1.5)
5 5 5 5 5 2 6.4 5 5.1 5 5 5
9th
5  Steevee Wonderful
(2) Damien Thornton 58.0kg
41 41 51 41 46 2 85 41 43 41 51 46
3rd
6  Three Tees
(6) Ryan Maloney 58.0kg
5 5 5 4.6 5 2 6.2 5 4.7 5 5 5
6th
7  Unega Wahy'a
(7) Madeleine Wishart 58.0kg
16 15 16 17 15 2 680 17 16.2 15 16 15
5th
8  Will It Snow
(4) Michael Cahill 58.0kg
4.2 4 4.2 4.4 4.4 2 5 4.2 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.4
8th
9  Ain't Tellin
(3) Andrew Mallyon 56.0kg
4.4 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.2 4 5 4 3.85 4.2 4.2 4.2
7th
11  Bonfire Spark
(8) Mark Du Plessis 56.0kg
41 35 51 51 41 1.4 80 51 49 41 61 41
1st
12  Walsh Bay
(5) Justin Huxtable 56.0kg
6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 7.6 690 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.5
Market percentage
 121 121 118 120 119 389 78 120 121 120 118 119
Quick Bet
Another race with little revealed form but more depth than the previous. The Tony Gollan-trained BOOMTOWN BOSS (1) had support on debut in Saturday grade and Jim Orman has stuck with him. A brother to good performers Boomtown Lass and Tick Tock Boom, the gate tests but he has speed and will be prominent for a long way.

A half-brother to Group 3 winner Quantico, the stablemate THREE TEES (6) is bred for speed, has had two quiet trials and will be given every chance by Ryan Maloney.

WILL IT SNOW (8) was only found out late on debut at Grafton. He will be improved and gets the gun run with Michael Cahill.

Chris Munce can get them ready and WALSH BAY (12) has looked useful at trials winning his most recent by a space. The full-brother has won three of his first four starts and he can follow the trend.

VERDICT: A market watch but a Tony Gollan quinella likely.


RACE 3: Three-Year-Old Maiden Handicap (1690m)

Ipswich Race 3
Ipswich R3 - Seven News Mdn Hcp free form guide Form Guide
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Seven News Mdn Hcp (1690m)
5th
1  Born Fearless
(4) Cejay Graham 60.0kg (a1.5)
4.8 4.6 4.4 4.8 4.5 10.5 70 5 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.5
1st
2  Rashford
(2) Kyle Wilson-Taylor 60.0kg
2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.45 1.52 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.45 2.5 2.45
2nd
3  Merchant Flyer
(3) James Orman 59.0kg
4 4.4 4.2 4 4.2 3.25 15 3.8 4.6 4 4.2 4.2
4th
4  Cryptic Sound
(1) Robbie Dolan 58.0kg
4.8 4.8 5 4.2 4.8 3.7 5.8 4.6 3.6 4.8 5 4.8
7th
7  Linda's Magic
(6) Nozi Tomizawa 56.5kg
26 23 26 26 23 10.5 900 26 26.5 26 23 23
3rd
8  Pele Princess
(8) Martin Harley 56.0kg
21 21 29 26 23 9.4 900 26 20 23 23 23
8th
12  Forgets Me Not
(7) Mark Du Plessis 54.0kg
71 41 61 61 46 15 150 61 63 41 51 46
6th
13e  Americola
(5) Karl Zechner 54.0kg
251 126 301 151 201 26 1000 151 161 151 201 201
Market percentage
 119 119 117 123 119 164 72 118 129 120 117 119
Quick Bet
A moderate field gives RASHFORD (2) his chance after placing at all three outings this preparation. He protested unsuccessfully when a beaten favourite at the Sunshine Coast last start but with Kyle Wilson-Taylor staying on will be perfectly placed on the speed and can make amends.

Rex Lipp has brought two down from Toowoomba on the quick back-up. CRYPTIC SOUND (4) is fitter for two outings and will appreciate this extra distance. She was never on the track last week but from the ace draw Robbie Dolan will put her in the box seat.

The stablemate BORN FEARLESS (1) over-raced and disappointed last week but was a beaten favourite when just missing the placings over 1600m at Eagle Farm four starts back. This race looks suitable and he will appreciate Cejay Graham's 1.5kg claim.

MERCHANT FLYER (3) has less convictions than most and wasn't helped by a wide gate here last start. His dam won up to 2400m and from the better gate Jim Orman will ride positively.

VERDICT: Several chances but RASHFORD (2) the one to beat.


RACE 4: Benchmark 68 Handicap (2180m)

Ipswich Race 4
Ipswich R4 - Great Northern (Bm68) free form guide Form Guide
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Great Northern (Bm68) (2180m)
8th
2  Jetpack Verdi
(3) James Orman 57.0kg
4.2 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.4 4.6 8.8 4.4 4.85 4.4 4.2 4.4
4th
4  Bringme
(4) Karl Zechner 55.0kg
4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 2 880 4.6 4.35 4.6 4.4 4.4
2nd
5  Intentional Lass
(7) Kyle Wilson-Taylor 54.5kg
7 7 7.5 6.5 7 1.32 680 7.5 4.85 7 7 7
1st
6  Contrition
(5) Jake Bayliss 54.0kg
6 6 6 6 6 1.18 680 6 6.8 6 6 6
7th
7  Kasear
(1) Tahlia Fenlon 54.0kg (a3)
9 8 9 7.5 8.5 2 27 8 10.2 8 8.5 8.5
5th
8  Winter Thorn
(8) Robbie Dolan 54.0kg
23 23 26 21 23 2 900 19 23.5 21 23 23
6th
9  Bump'n'run
(6) Mark Du Plessis 53.0kg
19 16 19 18 18 25 890 18 18.2 18 19 18
3rd
10  Classique Gal
(2) Samantha Collett 52.5kg
12 11 12 13 12 2 890 12 13.2 12 13 12
Market percentage
 107 108 104 110 106 386 16 106 106 107 107 106
Quick Bet
Some solid recent form in this. The lightly-raced JETPACK VERDI (2) is fitter for two outings in Saturday grade and gets up to his right trip. He has struggled since a pair of dominant wins early in his career but Tony Gollan and Jim Orman have been carrying all before them this season and get another chance to add to the tally.'

HELEVA DEEL (1) relished a return from Saturday grade to get it done narrowly when favourite at Toowoomba last start. She has a decent impost but won her only previous start here and will be well-placed throughout.

ALIRAAJ (3) races well here and followed up a win in similar grade with sound runner-up effort. He makes his own luck and with winning rider Jason Taylor back on won't want for anything.

Winkers go back on BRINGME (4) which has found some form and is looking at a hat-trick. This is harder but Karl Zechner stays on and will be strong late.

VERDICT: JETPACK VERDI (2) ready to strike.


RACE 5: Class 4 Handicap (1690m)

Ipswich Race 5
Ipswich R5 - Gordon's Gin Hcp (C4) free form guide Form Guide
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Gordon's Gin Hcp (C4) (1690m)
6th
2  Cool Encounter
(7) Justin Huxtable 57.0kg
6 6.5 7 6 6.5 100 24 6.5 5.1 6.5 6.5 6.5
4th
3  Demon Delivera
(1) Kyle Wilson-Taylor 55.5kg
3.3 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.4 50 2.72 3.7 2.95 3.4 3.4 3.4
7th
4  Valantino Roc
(5) Jake Bayliss 54.5kg
3.3 3.4 3.2 3.9 3.6 12 6.2 3.8 4.2 3.5 3.5 3.6
5th
5  Irish Sally
(6) Karl Zechner 54.0kg
31 27 34 26 27 5 900 26 26.5 26 29 27
1st
6  Sherriff Cody
(2) Cejay Graham 54.0kg (a1.5)
7.5 7 7.5 6.5 7 7 1.18 7 5.1 7 7 7
2nd
7  Showman
(3) Jimmy Byrne 54.0kg
10 10 11 9.5 10 6.8 680 10 8.6 10 10 10
3rd
9  Rocked
(4) Mark Du Plessis 53.0kg
6 5.5 6 4.8 6 5 6.2 5 5.8 5.5 5.5 6
Market percentage
 121 120 117 121 117 80 158 117 130 120 119 117
Quick Bet
The Gollan/Orman juggernaut can strike again with RISING PACIFIC (1) which placed in a Saturday Class 6 last start and will enjoy the return to midweek company. He won his only previous start here and under similar conditions a repeat is on the cards.

VALANTINO ROC (4) got things wrong at the start and disappointed last outing after a strong first-up win. A longer trip suits and with not much speed in this Jake Bayliss can give them something to chase.

DEMON DELIVERA (3) found trouble when having a crack at Saturday grade and has won up to 1625m. He was dominant at his two previous Toowoomba outings and from the ace draw Kyle Wilson-Taylor gets the gun run.

COOL ENCOUNTER (2) is fitter for three outings and has won previously here albeit in a race where there was a riderless horse and three were declared non-runners. He drops 2.5kg and a senior ride can help overcome the wide draw.

VERDICT: Gollan and Orman yet again.


RACE 6: Maiden Plate (1690m)

Ipswich Race 6
Ipswich R6 - Schweppes Mdn Plate free form guide Form Guide
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Schweppes Mdn Plate (1690m)
9th
3  Glenray's Mate
(6) Boris Thornton 58.5kg
34 31 41 31 31 100 910 31 23.5 31 41 31
8th
4  Lucifer The Cat
(5) Sean Cormack 58.5kg
61 46 61 61 46 100 910 61 63 51 61 46
7th
5  Noah
(10) Karl Zechner 58.5kg
15 13 15 14 14 100 13 16 14.2 14 16 14
6th
8  Ride For Luck
(3) Robbie Dolan 57.5kg
4.2 4.2 4 4.2 4 100 9.4 4 4.45 4 4.2 4
2nd
9  The Hindustan
(7) Ryan Maloney 57.5kg
3.3 3.5 3.5 3.1 3.4 100 6 3.2 2.55 3.3 3.4 3.4
4th
10  Aqua Rosa
(4) Bailey Wheeler 56.5kg (a2)
13 13 15 11 13 100 170 11 11.2 12 13 13
1st
12  Adelaide's Lace
(8) Samantha Collett 55.5kg
26 23 31 31 26 14 130 31 29.5 26 29 26
5th
13  Miracle Seven
(2) Mark Du Plessis 55.5kg
3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.8 100 3.85 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8
3rd
14  Vidya
(1) Cejay Graham 55.5kg (a1.5)
6.5 6.5 6.5 7.5 6.5 100 12 7 9.1 7 7 6.5
10th
15e  Ruby Loves Carrots
(9) Nozi Tomizawa 56.5kg
151 91 201 101 126 100 940 101 111 101 151 126
Market percentage
 120 121 118 122 121 16 71 122 125 121 116 121
Quick Bet
Very little to excite here and AQUA ROSA (10) wasn't disgraced behind the talented Ichiban last start in a much stronger race than this. Her best efforts in five starts have been around this trip, she has gate speed and with Bailey Wheeler's 2kg claim can run them off their legs.

There are some well bred but hitherto disappointing ones here including The Autumn Sun filly MIRACLE SEVEN (13) which is out of an I Am Invincible mare that placed at Listed level. She got too far back at debut but passed a few late and will be improved. This trip suits, blinkers go on and from a good gate with Mark Du Plessis won't get a better chance.

Winkers replace blinkers on THE HINDUSTAN (9) which is another well-bred one by Savabeel that hasn't shown a lot in five outings but now with Tony and Maddy Sears will get his chance.

Winkers go on the Dundeel filly VIDYA (14) which struggled at three outings for Bjorn Baker in NSW but now with Maryann Brosnan beat more than half the field home at her first outing on the Gold Coast polytrack. Back on turf from the inside draw she will get all the favours with Cejay Graham.

VERDICT: AQUA ROSA (10) won't find an easier one.


RACE 7: Maiden Handicap (1350m)

Ipswich Race 7
Ipswich R7 - Tab Mdn Hcp free form guide Form Guide
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Tab Mdn Hcp (1350m)
9th
1  Nitrogen
(8) Martin Harley 59.5kg
19 17 23 17 19 17 900 19 13 19 21 19
6th
2  United Front
(5) Kyle Wilson-Taylor 59.5kg
10 10 10 9.5 9.5 6.2 36 9.5 10.4 9.5 10 9.5
11th
3  Fonzie Rocks
(9) Vlad Duric 59.0kg
41 35 51 31 41 21 910 31 29.5 34 41 41
1st
4  Jonny Da Wolf
(7) James Orman 59.0kg
1.65 1.7 1.55 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.77 1.65 1.72 1.7 1.7 1.7
4th
5  Kilna
(12) Ryan Maloney 59.0kg
7.5 7.5 8 7.5 7 5.3 23 8 7.6 7.5 7.5 7
13th
8  Shoot The Diva
(4) Cejay Graham 57.5kg (a1.5)
71 51 71 61 51 21 920 71 43 61 67 51
8th
9  Zougirl
(14) Samantha Collett 57.5kg
151 101 201 101 126 21 940 101 83 126 151 126
2nd
10  Storm Dreamer
(1) Justin Huxtable 57.0kg
10 9.5 11 10 9.5 12 38 10 11 9.5 10 9.5
10th
11  Home Creek
(6) Kirk Matheson 56.5kg
251 151 351 101 201 26 1000 101 121 201 201 201
14th
12  Inspirational Diva
(11) Bailey Wheeler 56.5kg (a2)
21 26 34 21 23 38 900 26 16.4 23 29 23
12th
14  Diligente
(2) Damien Thornton 56.0kg
34 27 51 31 31 21 910 31 29 31 34 31
5th
15e  Winter's Promise
(10) Robbie Dolan 55.0kg
18 17 17 16 16 24 890 17 13.2 16 16 16
7th
16e  Space Journey
(13) Noel Callow 57.0kg
81 61 101 61 71 24 980 71 43 71 81 71
3rd
19e  Outa Taormina
(3) Tahlia Fenlon 54.0kg (a3)
41 35 41 41 35 20 910 41 35 34 41 35
Market percentage
 121 123 119 124 123 151 67 122 128 123 118 123
Quick Bet
Chris Waller has had JONNY DA WOLF (4) for three outings and is backing him up quickly after his placing behind Velozes at Doomben. He can over-race but just missed here two starts back, gets a bit change and with Jim Orman there will be no excuses.

STORM DREAMER (10) does plenty wrong but hit the line hard last start at the Sunshine Coast when resuming. Justin Huxtable replaces the apprentice Tahlia Fenon and from a good gate the stronger rider can keep her focused.

KILNA (5) came from a wide gate and wasn't beaten far on debut here over this trip. Readied by a trial he has drawn poorly again but the David Vandyke/Ryan Maloney combination is too prolific to ignore.

NITROGEN (1) didn't give a yelp when resuming on a heavy track at the Sunshine Coast. He should strike a better surface here and his previous form is good enough for this.

VERDICT: JONNY DA WOLF (4) to break through.


RACE 8: Class 1 Plate (1350m)

Ipswich Race 8
Ipswich R8 - Imperial Racing Plate (C1) free form guide Form Guide
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Imperial Racing Plate (C1) (1350m)
4th
1  Around The Buoy
(8) Tahlia Fenlon 60.0kg (a3)
14 14 15 15 14 13 380 16 12.2 15 15 14
5th
2  Brasco
(4) James Orman 60.0kg
12 12 13 11 12 10.5 15.5 12 10.2 11 13 12
10th
5  Asgoodasyougett
(9) Mark Du Plessis 59.0kg
126 81 201 101 101 28 940 101 101 101 126 101
1st
7  Exceed Speed
(1) Damien Thornton 59.0kg
5 4.8 5 4.8 5 4 7 4.8 4.45 5 5 5
3rd
8  Military Award
(3) Ryan Maloney 59.0kg
7 7 7.5 7.5 7 7 9.2 7 8.1 7 7 7
2nd
9  South Sea
(10) Boris Thornton 59.0kg
3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 5 3.2 3.45 3.2 3.2 3.3
6th
10  Easterly
(2) Vlad Duric 58.0kg
11 11 12 11 11 7.8 17 10 13.2 11 11 11
7th
12  Liqueur Gold
(6) Martin Harley 58.0kg
71 51 81 71 61 21 920 81 57 71 67 61
9th
14  Black Opium
(7) Andrew Mallyon 57.0kg
3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.65 4.8 3.6 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.6
8th
15e  Claudius
(5) Justin Huxtable 60.0kg
151 101 251 101 151 42 970 101 111 126 151 151
Market percentage
 120 122 118 121 120 138 79 122 124 121 120 120
Quick Bet
Several here that have promised more than delivered. RUSSIAN SUB (3) can do things wrong and cost himself the race last start when run down late. He has won a trial since, gets a gear change and with the more experienced Cejay Graham replacing Sophie Wilcox that may be enough.

Fitter for two outings, MILITARY AWARD (8) was competitive in better fields than this before coming North to join Matt Dunn. Ryan Maloney stays on, a nose roll goes on and from a good gate we will find out what he has.

BOOMING LAD (6) has got too far back and disappointed at both outings since resuming. He was competitive in Saturday grade last preparation and this extra distance suits. With Damien Thornton and on firmer ground than last start, he can make his presence felt.

BRASCO (2)'s only win came when second-up with Jim Orman and he didn't get much room when beaten less than two lengths at Doomben when resuming. He steps up in trip but fitter now, history can repeat.

VERDICT: RUSSIAN SUB (3) with Cejay Graham can get it done.


RACE 9: Benchmark 65 Handicap (1200m)

Ipswich Race 9
Ipswich R9 - Seven Family Raceday 6 May (Bm65) free form guide Form Guide
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Seven Family Raceday 6 May (Bm65) (1200m)
8th
1  Chasing Jackley
(1) Jake Molloy 62.0kg (a3)
61 46 61 71 51 15 90 71 69 61 67 51
9th
2  Chilliwack
(10) Jake Bayliss 60.0kg
31 26 34 26 26 12.5 910 26 32 26 29 26
6th
3  Paienbara
(7) Samantha Collett 59.5kg
31 27 34 26 27 8 42 26 35 26 29 27
1st
4  Radiant Remi
(2) Tahlia Fenlon 59.5kg (a3)
6.5 7 7.5 7 7 4.6 17 7 6.3 7 7 7
3rd
6  Don't Diss Around
(6) Nathan Fazackerley 59.0kg
23 21 26 20 21 27 34 20 19.4 21 26 21
5th
8  Hurts So Good
(11) Ryan Maloney 58.5kg
4.2 4.4 4.2 4.6 4.5 3.7 17 4.4 5 4.6 4.5 4.5
4th
10  Casrock
(5) Cejay Graham 58.0kg (a1.5)
3.6 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.7 1.24 1.87 3.8 4.25 3.7 3.8 3.7
10th
11  Helikedempretty
(3) Noel Callow 58.0kg
3.8 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.7 3.95 34 3.4 2.75 3.6 3.6 3.7
7th
12  Kitri
(8) Mark Du Plessis 58.0kg
10 9.5 10 10 9.5 19.5 890 10 10.2 9.5 10 9.5
11th
13  Rockin' Artie
(4) Bailey Wheeler 58.0kg (a2)
31 27 34 31 27 9.2 960 26 35 31 34 27
2nd
19e  First Peoples
(9) Michael Cahill 58.5kg
81 61 101 61 71 21 920 81 35 71 91 71
Market percentage
 120 121 118 122 120 206 75 122 124 120 117 120
Quick Bet
Tony Gollan loves to drop them back to midweek grade and RADIANT REMI (4) will strip fitter after taking on Saturday grade over 1000m. She is yet to win at this trip but from a good gate with Tahlia Fenlon's 3kg claim will get every conceivable chance.

HELIKEDEMPRETTY (11) has been in fine form since resuming but found Typhoon Taavi too speedy last start. Noel Callow stays on and she will be well-placed throughout.

CASROCK (10) likes this track and wasn't far away when resuming. With Cejay Graham she will get every chance.

A bad gate tests I AM TAKING THELOT (9) but she will be improved by her first-up outing, drops 1.5kg and will hit the line for Jim Orman.

VERDICT: RADIANT REMI (4) hard to hold out.

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