Sunshine Coast preview and tips: Best bets for Sunday, November 27
The second meeting of the weekend at the Sunshine Coast and with fine weather and the rail out two metres all horses will get their chance.
Fields of moderate quality with plenty of unknowns make this tricky and I will be playing conservatively and staying with in-form runners and riders.
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Sunshine Coast Race 1
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Toucan Removals Mdn Hcp (1000m)
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17 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | |||||
2 | 2.05 | 2.1 | 2.05 | 2.24 | 2.26 | 2.1 | 1.98 | 2 | 2.05 | |||||
2.9 | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.35 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3 | 2.9 | |||||
5.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||||
14 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 16.2 | 16 | 15 | |||||
31 | 26 | 31 | 26 | 34 | 38 | 31 | 24.5 | 26 | 26 | |||||
Market percentage
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119 | 117 | 111 | 118 | 102 | 99 | 115 | 117 | 118 | 118 | ||||
Quick Bet
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Stuart Kendrick can get them ready without a trial and the Astern colt SHOW ME MERCY (2) is bred for speed and with Jim Orman from a good gate will get all the favours.
Of the others GIRLS IN PEARLS (4) has a sprinter's pedigree and the recently gelded MISHANI LIGHT (1) has trialled as if he will appreciate the big track.
Verdict- Watch the market but going with the one with experience.
Sunshine Coast Race 2
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Tilers Trade Centre Mdn Hcp (1000m)
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7 | 8 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 8 | 7.5 | |||||
6 | 6 | 6.5 | 6 | 7.8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||||
9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9 | 9.5 | |||||
13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15.5 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | |||||
2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.82 | 2.84 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | |||||
3.6 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.55 | 3.6 | 3.9 | |||||
51 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 65 | 75 | 41 | 53 | 41 | 41 | |||||
41 | 34 | 41 | 34 | 46 | 48 | 34 | 40 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Market percentage
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121 | 120 | 115 | 118 | 102 | 98 | 117 | 121 | 118 | 118 | ||||
Quick Bet
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Jim Orman rides winners for fun here and Jack Duncan has put him on ZI WIN (6) which was dismal when well supported on resuming but showed improvement at a recent trial. All the gear comes off and if he is on best behaviour could get the job done.
INVAHIR (3) has looked solid at both trials and has found a moderate maiden for debut. He has speed and will be prominent for Angela Jones.
RED VODKA (4) has finished just out of the placings at both outings since resuming at Toowoomba. This track may be more suitable and with blinkers on he can get in the money.
Verdict- Another watch-the-market race but I am on STAR PRINCE (5).
Sunshine Coast Race 3
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92.7 Mix Mark & Caroline-Bm58 (1300m)
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2.7 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | |||||
19 | 19 | 23 | 18 | 11.5 | 36 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | |||||
3.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.55 | 3.3 | 3.4 | |||||
61 | 61 | 81 | 61 | 16.5 | 990 | 61 | 63 | 51 | 61 | |||||
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 10 | 10.2 | 10 | 10 | |||||
3.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 3.35 | 3.6 | 3.6 | |||||
41 | 35 | 51 | 41 | 16.5 | 810 | 41 | 37 | 41 | 41 | |||||
151 | 151 | 251 | 126 | 18.5 | 1000 | 151 | 161 | 126 | 126 | |||||
41 | 41 | 51 | 51 | 23 | 980 | 51 | 53 | 41 | 51 | |||||
151 | 126 | 251 | 151 | 22 | 1000 | 151 | 161 | 126 | 151 | |||||
151 | 201 | 301 | 201 | 32 | 650 | 151 | 221 | 151 | 201 | |||||
Market percentage
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122 | 121 | 118 | 121 | 126 | 84 | 121 | 121 | 121 | 121 | ||||
Quick Bet
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STORMTROOPER (3) has recent wins at Gympie and Toowoomba followed by a narrow defeat last start at Warwick. He gets the best rider in Jim Orman and with a good gate will be the testing material.
BELLICOSE (6) doesn't win out of turn but has raced well here in the past and just missed a place two starts back in a stronger Benchmark 58. With Jaden Lloyd he has the speed to go forward and make his own luck.
FOXY ROSE (5) is hard to follow but has won two of her past four which is better than most of these. The drop back in trip won't worry her on the big track and with Samantha Collett she can hit the line.
Verdict- STRYKING PRINCESS (1) will be hard to beat.
Sunshine Coast Race 4
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Home Care Assistance Hcp (C1) (1800m)
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4.4 | 4.2 | 4 | 4.2 | 3.35 | 3.85 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |||||
10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 11 | 11.2 | 10 | 10 | |||||
7.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 7 | 6.6 | 12 | 8 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7 | |||||
2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | |||||
21 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 17 | 900 | 21 | 21.5 | 20 | 21 | |||||
4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 3.85 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 3.95 | 4.2 | 4.4 | |||||
18 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 15.5 | 90 | 18 | 18.2 | 17 | 17 | |||||
41 | 41 | 51 | 41 | 24 | 490 | 41 | 38 | 41 | 41 | |||||
126 | 126 | 251 | 151 | 100 | 1000 | 101 | 161 | 101 | 151 | |||||
126 | 126 | 201 | 126 | 100 | 1000 | 101 | 111 | 101 | 126 | |||||
Market percentage
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122 | 121 | 117 | 121 | 129 | 84 | 120 | 122 | 122 | 121 | ||||
Quick Bet
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NIGHT VISION (7) is a one-pacer which struggled on the turning track at Beaudesert but was only run down late here at his previous start. He won't mind the extra distance and fitter for three outings can give a sight.
TUKI TWELVE (2) disappointed last start but is fitter for two outings and blinkers go back on. He will appreciate the extra distance, drops 1.5kg with Jim Orman staying on, can improve.
BARONIAL (3) was too keen at the Gold Coast last start when having his first try at a longer trip. There is not much depth in this and if Micheal Hellyer settles him he could run a race.
Verdict- SET ME UP (5) can overwhelm them late.
Sunshine Coast Race 5
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Balin Stewart Foundation Mdn (1400m)
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151 | 151 | 201 | 151 | 280 | 470 | 151 | 221 | 151 | 151 | |||||
23 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 30 | 38 | 31 | 22 | 26 | 21 | |||||
41 | 34 | 41 | 41 | 55 | 65 | 41 | 43 | 41 | 41 | |||||
31 | 23 | 34 | 31 | 46 | 65 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 31 | |||||
2.3 | 2.25 | 2.1 | 2.35 | 2.58 | 2.66 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.35 | 2.35 | |||||
21 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 30 | 34 | 19 | 21.5 | 19 | 21 | |||||
4 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.9 | |||||
4.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4.8 | 5 | |||||
101 | 91 | 101 | 91 | 120 | 160 | 91 | 95 | 91 | 91 | |||||
23 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 21.5 | 21 | 21 | |||||
14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 18.5 | 13 | 13.4 | 13 | 14 | |||||
151 | 101 | 151 | 151 | 200 | 470 | 101 | 221 | 101 | 151 | |||||
41 | 31 | 41 | 41 | 55 | 70 | 31 | 43 | 34 | 41 | |||||
151 | 101 | 201 | 201 | 320 | 1000 | 101 | 221 | 126 | 201 | |||||
Market percentage
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121 | 128 | 128 | 121 | 104 | 94 | 119 | 124 | 121 | 121 | ||||
Quick Bet
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HOUSTON ROCKET (5) was well beaten but came from a long way back when a distant second to Golden Boom on debut. He won't run into anything like that here, the extra distance suits and a more positive ride will see him in the money.
TYSON'S FURY (10) has been trying for a while but is rarely far away and there isn't much depth in this race. A good gate helps and Boris Thornton will give him every chance.
COUNTER COMMAND (2) showed speed at debut but was used up from a wide gate and weakened over the final stages. He has trialled since and a quieter ride over the longer trip may pay dividends.
Verdict- TUBTHUMPER (13) the one to beat.
Sunshine Coast Race 6
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Boq M'ydore Series Ht (Bm75) (1300m)
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6.5 | 7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 9.2 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 7 | 6.5 | |||||
3.9 | 3.9 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5 | 4.2 | 4.15 | 4 | 4.2 | |||||
4.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 4.05 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |||||
9.5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 18.5 | 24 | 9 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9 | |||||
6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||||
34 | 35 | 41 | 34 | 44 | 190 | 41 | 43 | 34 | 34 | |||||
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | 5 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 5 | |||||
5.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 6 | |||||
Market percentage
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130 | 127 | 127 | 129 | 109 | 96 | 131 | 129 | 128 | 129 | ||||
Quick Bet
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Toby and Trent Edmonds have brought BOHO BEAUTY (5) here to qualify for the final. She has won her past two and was dominant in a Benchmark 65 last start. The step up in journey on a big track is a slight query but she has won four of seven starts and will give a bold sight.
LA AMIGO (1) will relish a return to this track after two unsuccessful efforts in Saturday grade. 1300m is a far as he wants to go but Jim Orman will give them something to catch.
GHOSTWRITER (8) is more a placegetter than a winner but has a good first-up record and may be suited by this track. With Brodie Loy from a good gate he will be prominent,
Verdict- OCEAN EMPEROR (3) brings the relevant Saturday form.
Sunshine Coast Race 7
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92.7 Mix Fm's Todd & Sami-Bm65 (1400m)
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5 | 5.5 | 5 | 6 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6 | |||||
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.8 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | |||||
19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 60 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 17 | |||||
4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 4 | 4.6 | 4.2 | |||||
8.5 | 8 | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 8 | 8 | |||||
10 | 9.5 | 9 | 9.5 | 10 | 30 | 8.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | |||||
12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | |||||
8.5 | 9 | 8.5 | 10 | 9.4 | 13 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 9 | 10 | |||||
4.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 4.45 | 4.2 | 4 | |||||
81 | 71 | 81 | 81 | 65 | 990 | 81 | 83 | 67 | 81 | |||||
Market percentage
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129 | 129 | 130 | 131 | 128 | 72 | 128 | 135 | 130 | 131 | ||||
Quick Bet
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RISING STAR (9) is fitter for two outings, is in the right class and has a good record at this track. He has won two of three at this trip and from a good gate will get every chance with Angela Jones.
JAC THE GREAT (13) ran on to be in a blanket finish at the Gold Coast when resuming. He has been kept fresh since, Micheal Hellyer stays on and he won't mind this bigger track.
AWE (3) is resuming on the back of one trial and has drawn the carpark but is well and truly up to this class. If Bridie Loy can weave a passage he could make his presence felt.
Verdict- Following PRICKLY POPPY (8).
BEST BET: STRYKING PRINCESS (Race 3 No 1)
NEXT BEST: OCEAN EMPEROR (Race 6 No 3)
VALUE BET: PRICKLY POPPY (Race 7 No 8)
Quaddie numbers are:
Race 4: 2, 3, 5, 7
Race 5: 5, 13
Race 6: 3, 5
Race 7: 3, 8, 9, 12
$64 = 100%
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