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Jockeys Challenge?


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Beerad

 wrote Aug 18 2011 at 1:47am2011-08-18 01:47:17

Does anyone have any thoughts on the JC today looks very tough all over!

MadMann1974

 wrote Apr 13 at 1:40am2012-04-13 01:40:04

is it just me or does Callow tonight at Cranbourne look the $$'s?

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 13 at 7:52am2012-04-13 07:52:46

Callow tonight is the worst $1.20 chance I have ever seen !!! Good jock but his book of rides are iffy ... Eastward looks the winner but if it misses the start again from gate 2 will be in strife ....r1 can hope for 3rd only then he rides for Laing who's in a dry patch .... Hard to split a danger but currie , Gundog , mertens and Higgins all have points .... Another to note in callows odds is he's always unders for the rides he has I think the bookies can't get at him and always keep him safe in the challenge .... I think he's beatable for sure and at $8 plus the rest it's not going to cost much to try and get him beat ..... Good luck

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 13 at 10:27am2012-04-13 10:27:12

callows home wins on a $26 chance by farkin protest ...... Bit better odds on that than the $1.20 on offer for the j.c !! Fair dues too good .... Hoping he can kick a little neddy home for me tommorow at flemington ....

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 14 at 1:28am2012-04-14 01:28:06

Whoever has taken froggy from $5 into $4.20 is a muppett ..... Why take unders ?? Race 1 he's on a bolter with no hope , r2 no ride ... So why take the odds early when you can bet after r2 but before r3 and get $7 or $8 on his good chances later in the day ..... Simple !! Bet smart don't give bookies an inch and get the best odds for your dollar ....

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 14 at 2:15am2012-04-14 02:15:31

$7 clipperton seems a nice sneaky chance after 2 points on a bolter in r1...

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 14 at 8:44am2012-04-14 08:44:25

Nice collect on clipperton today !!
If they open a j.c at kenilworth 2nite B.Faydherbe will ride 4 winners and places but it doesn't look like a market anywhere ....

MadMann1974

 wrote Apr 14 at 9:21am2012-04-14 09:21:47

yep, I am thinking about parlaying the rides Fayd'bhere is on at Kenilworth, tempted in the 6th only to back for a place, but knowing my luck it would win and if it did it be a huge boast in a parlay, last of the big spenders, costing me $45 but think that be money for jam tonight

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 14 at 10:39am2012-04-14 10:39:39

yes madmann wins the first 3 in a canter ... r5 , r7 and r8 should all finish top 2 .... His value ride is r5 at $5 runs on strongly and drops to a winable class , r6 i would leave out but include black wing for a place only at 20s , if fit is better class than these .....hope its as easy as it looks !!

MadMann1974

 wrote Apr 14 at 10:49am2012-04-14 10:49:26

time will tell ranchoruler but you just never know in these races. I did a parlay 2 on those 4 races, was tempted to take the allup on a parlay 4 but that R6 ride put me off it, something is better than nothing though, and still cheering about my parlay last night at Cranbourne on the two Eclipse horses. Really thinking about getting into parlaying, but will sit back for a while, test the water, see how I go with "theortical" parlays and actually lay out money on one a day if I feel confident enough.

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 14 at 11:34am2012-04-14 11:34:56

B.Faydherbe ....2 races run .... 2 rides for 2 wins ....

MadMann1974

 wrote Apr 14 at 11:42am2012-04-14 11:42:39

so long as Fayd'bhere keeps it up I'll be into the singing syrup well into the night!

StNuc

 wrote Apr 18 at 2:44am2012-04-18 02:44:49

K A Mallyon will win today at Sandown, shame she falss under any other jockey because I would like the price she will pay

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 20 at 8:02am2012-04-20 08:02:40

Cranbourne j.c .....
Nikolic $3 fav ...
Race 2 ... Subtle charm , just wins on the 3 wide no cover close up placing behind tres vite.... 3 points
Race 3 ... derryname , tough field 4 better hopes ... 0 points
Race 4 ... Number 1 hussler , gate 10 still learning , nikolic slaughter wide the trip ... 0 points
Race 5 ... La tar lad ... First up ...no .... 0 points
Race 6 ... Eight cards , prob will be short but gate 10 again another slaughter job plus 60 kgs ... 2 points max

Nikolic total 5 points = lay .... Can't win for mine so value the rest ...

Noonen $5

Race 1 ... 0 points
Race 3 ... 1 point at best
Race 4 ... 1 point at best
Race 6 ... Gate 11 ... 1 point at best
Race 7 ... Needs 2000m ... 0 points

3 points , there's the 2nd fav gone also ..

Symonds $5

Race 1 ... Eurells , gate 1 home track .. 2 or 3 points
Race 4 ... Snowdens , 2 or 3 points
Race 5 ... Leads ? 2 or 1 point
Race 6 ... Shaville , tough to rate , need wet ? 2 or 1 points

6 or 10 points .... Yes

Def save on any other as Maloney , rawiller , winks and lane could score 6 points ..

Omer ay ... Shocker , wouldn't even consider any ride he has ever !!

Mertens is a tough one as r3 goes ok but gate 13 , r4 is a roughie with a chance , r5 First up on home track won 3 from 9 but is it fit ? Besanko ??? , r6 Another nice roughie good first up ..

Suggested bet ...... Symonds win , any other jockey save , mertens back his rides e/w ....

I'm getting sick of the punt but I enjoy doing the form , so this is My thoughts for 2 nite , if I loose this weekend I'm going to gamblers anonymous !!!! Good luck ;)

tenchy21

 wrote Apr 20 at 8:34am2012-04-20 08:34:50

call me crazy rancho and i know your the king at this.. but its a very open night tonight for the JC and i think Knobel has two good winning chances at the end of the night and i think 6 points might win it, especially if he jags a point earlier in the night on a roughie.. took him @ 21s... just throwing it out there.

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 20 at 8:58am2012-04-20 08:58:08

Yeah mate , it's even more wide open now symonds unplaced on a 1.60 shot and noonen wins on a $20 pop .... Who should be swabbed after that trial it had ...stewards ?? Noonen prob into evens now but I wouldn't take it , just having a look at knobel ....

ranchoruler

 wrote Apr 20 at 9:06am2012-04-20 09:06:51

I couldn't have him mate , first 2 rides will be 50s ... Prices one prob his best ride but no sure thing and king surduka I couldn't have with 60 kgs , prob get over $21 for the running double if you like his last 2 rides .... Safer bet and less stressful !!

nicki78

 wrote Apr 20 at 9:10am2012-04-20 09:10:32

NIKOLIC Wins

tenchy21

 wrote Apr 20 at 9:11am2012-04-20 09:11:09

ah yes i didnt take into account he doesnt get a claim in the last... well i put a cheeky $10 on it anyway just incase lol... and wait until tomorrow

Bardacarp

 wrote Apr 24 at 2:03am2012-04-24 02:03:22

Kissick / Symons,Newitt / Treichel,Lynch that is all.

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